Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Excelsior.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Max | 3.47 | 4.09 | 2.01 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 28.0% | 23.7% | 48.3% |
| Public market | 27.7% | 25.1% | 47.1% |
| Δ | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2625/26 | Excelsior | 1–2 | AZ Alkmaar | 3.40/3.70/2.00 |
| 21/01/2625/26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1–1 | Excelsior | 1.30/6.00/8.50 |
| 10/03/2423/24 | AZ Alkmaar | 4–0 | Excelsior | 1.27/6.07/10.12 |
| 04/11/2323/24 | Excelsior | 1–1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7.60/4.97/1.38 |
| 10/02/2322/23 | AZ Alkmaar | 5–0 | Excelsior | 1.27/6.06/9.89 |
| 23/10/2222/23 | Excelsior | 2–1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7.61/5.18/1.37 |
| 15/05/1918/19 | Excelsior | 4–2 | AZ Alkmaar | 5.35/4.65/1.52 |
| 15/12/1818/19 | AZ Alkmaar | 2–1 | Excelsior | 1.21/6.34/12.73 |
| 24/09/1717/18 | AZ Alkmaar | 0–2 | Excelsior | 1.33/5.23/9.01 |
| 03/03/1817/18 | Excelsior | 1–2 | AZ Alkmaar | 5.85/4.20/1.54 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Excelsior
Away Record: AZ Alkmaar
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
AZ Alkmaar defeated Excelsior 4:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2014. Goals were scored by A. Jóhannsson 5′, S. Berghuis 6′, M. Henriksen 35′, J. Gouweleeuw 42′ (o.g.), A. Jóhannsson 57′. Excelsior made 3 substitutions, AZ Alkmaar made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar — 5 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Jóhannsson
assist: J. Gouweleeuw
Own Goal
assist: D. dos Santos
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. AZ Alkmaar show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Head to Head Results
Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar have met 21 times — Excelsior won 4, AZ Alkmaar won 9, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. AZ Alkmaar leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 73 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.48 per match (26 for the home side, 47 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. AZ Alkmaar are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 8–0 in 2024.
4
Excelsior
8
Drawn
9
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026