23 October 2022 at 10:15
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (13%) — the odds may underestimate Excelsior.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 7.33 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| Max | 8.00 | 5.54 | 1.40 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 13.2% | 17.5% | 69.3% |
| Public market | 11.8% | 18.9% | 69.3% |
| Δ | 1.4% | 1.4% | — |
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2625/26 | Excelsior | 1–2 | AZ Alkmaar | 3.40/3.70/2.00 |
| 21/01/2625/26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1–1 | Excelsior | 1.30/6.00/8.50 |
| 10/03/2423/24 | AZ Alkmaar | 4–0 | Excelsior | 1.27/6.07/10.12 |
| 04/11/2323/24 | Excelsior | 1–1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7.60/4.97/1.38 |
| 10/02/2322/23 | AZ Alkmaar | 5–0 | Excelsior | 1.27/6.06/9.89 |
| 23/10/2222/23 | Excelsior | 2–1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7.61/5.18/1.37 |
| 15/05/1918/19 | Excelsior | 4–2 | AZ Alkmaar | 5.35/4.65/1.52 |
| 15/12/1818/19 | AZ Alkmaar | 2–1 | Excelsior | 1.21/6.34/12.73 |
| 24/09/1717/18 | AZ Alkmaar | 0–2 | Excelsior | 1.33/5.23/9.01 |
| 03/03/1817/18 | Excelsior | 1–2 | AZ Alkmaar | 5.85/4.20/1.54 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Excelsior
Away Record: AZ Alkmaar
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Excelsior defeated AZ Alkmaar 2:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2022. Goals were scored by S. Horemans 6′, M. Azarkan 32′, Y. Sugawara 48′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Excelsior had 32% possession while AZ Alkmaar held 68%. Excelsior had 7 shots (2 on target) compared to 22 (8 on target) for AZ Alkmaar. Excelsior made 4 substitutions, AZ Alkmaar made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Azarkan
assist: L. Lamprou
assist: T. Reijnders
Match Statistics
Excelsior had 32% possession against AZ Alkmaar's 68%. Excelsior registered 7 shots (2 on target) while AZ Alkmaar managed 22 (8 on target). Corner kicks: 3–9. Fouls committed: 9–11.
Lineups
Excelsior lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under M. Dijkhuizen, while AZ Alkmaar deployed a 4-3-3 under P. Jansen.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Excelsior is 7.44, compared to 6.70 for AZ Alkmaar. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Excelsior's highest-rated starter is S. van Gassel (7.44), while AZ Alkmaar's best-rated player is J. Clasie (6.97).
Defensive Solidity
Excelsior deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against AZ Alkmaar's 4-man backline averaging 6.44. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Excelsior field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus AZ Alkmaar's 3 rated 6.97. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Excelsior start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for AZ Alkmaar averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 58% for Excelsior and 90% for AZ Alkmaar. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Excelsior's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Excelsior's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: S. van Gassel (29), oldest: S. van Gassel (29)), while AZ Alkmaar average 29.0 (youngest: M. Dekker (21), oldest: J. Clasie (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Excelsior's starters average 28 league appearances each, versus 5 for AZ Alkmaar. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen
Substitutes
Coach: P. Jansen
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. AZ Alkmaar show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Head to Head Results
Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar have met 21 times — Excelsior won 3, AZ Alkmaar won 10, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. AZ Alkmaar leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 75 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.57 per match (25 for the home side, 50 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. AZ Alkmaar are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 8–0 in 2024.
3
Excelsior
8
Drawn
10
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026