5 February 2016 at 19:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.8
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Willem II.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| Max | 2.79 | 3.48 | 2.64 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 35.0% | 28.0% | 37.0% |
| Public market | 34.0% | 29.3% | 36.7% |
| Δ | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Excelsior vs Willem II — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/1918/19 | Excelsior | 1–1 | Willem II | 3.42/3.65/2.06 |
| 15/09/1818/19 | Willem II | 2–2 | Excelsior | 1.86/3.63/4.11 |
| 13/08/1717/18 | Willem II | 1–2 | Excelsior | 2.05/3.47/3.56 |
| 06/04/1817/18 | Excelsior | 2–1 | Willem II | 2.19/3.42/3.22 |
| 17/09/1616/17 | Willem II | 1–1 | Excelsior | 1.67/3.90/4.94 |
| 25/02/1716/17 | Excelsior | 0–2 | Willem II | 2.48/3.23/2.89 |
| 07/11/1515/16 | Willem II | 2–3 | Excelsior | 1.81/3.62/4.35 |
| 05/02/1615/16 | Excelsior | 0–0 | Willem II | 2.68/3.31/2.60 |
| 22/11/1414/15 | Willem II | 1–1 | Excelsior | 1.73/3.86/4.51 |
| 14/03/1514/15 | Excelsior | 2–3 | Willem II | 2.20/3.38/3.23 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Excelsior
Away Record: Willem II
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Excelsior and Willem II drew 0:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2015. 2 yellow cards were shown. Excelsior had 38% possession while Willem II held 62%. Excelsior had 16 shots (5 on target) compared to 10 (1 on target) for Willem II. Excelsior made 3 substitutions, Willem II made 2.
Match Events
Key match events between Excelsior and Willem II — 0 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Excelsior had 38% possession against Willem II's 62%. Excelsior registered 16 shots (5 on target) while Willem II managed 10 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 0–0.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. Willem II show 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Excelsior
Willem II
Excelsior vs Willem II Head to Head Results
Excelsior and Willem II have met 13 times — Excelsior won 4, Willem II won 4, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.08 per match (20 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (77%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (54%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Willem II are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2015.
4
Excelsior
5
Drawn
4
Willem II
Recent Meetings (13)
API data: 15 Mar 2026