15 September 2018 at 18:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.8
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Excelsior.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Max | 1.91 | 3.68 | 4.37 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 51.9% | 26.1% | 22.0% |
| Public market | 51.4% | 26.1% | 22.4% |
Willem II vs Excelsior — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/1918/19 | Excelsior | 1–1 | Willem II | 3.42/3.65/2.06 |
| 15/09/1818/19 | Willem II | 2–2 | Excelsior | 1.86/3.63/4.11 |
| 13/08/1717/18 | Willem II | 1–2 | Excelsior | 2.05/3.47/3.56 |
| 06/04/1817/18 | Excelsior | 2–1 | Willem II | 2.19/3.42/3.22 |
| 17/09/1616/17 | Willem II | 1–1 | Excelsior | 1.67/3.90/4.94 |
| 25/02/1716/17 | Excelsior | 0–2 | Willem II | 2.48/3.23/2.89 |
| 07/11/1515/16 | Willem II | 2–3 | Excelsior | 1.81/3.62/4.35 |
| 05/02/1615/16 | Excelsior | 0–0 | Willem II | 2.68/3.31/2.60 |
| 22/11/1414/15 | Willem II | 1–1 | Excelsior | 1.73/3.86/4.51 |
| 14/03/1514/15 | Excelsior | 2–3 | Willem II | 2.20/3.38/3.23 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Willem II
Away Record: Excelsior
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Willem II and Excelsior drew 2:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2018. Goals were scored by L. Bruins 31′, D. Mahmudov 82′, Fran Sol 86′, K. Kristinsson 88′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Willem II had 56% possession while Excelsior held 44%. Willem II had 22 shots (6 on target) compared to 18 (4 on target) for Excelsior. Willem II made 3 substitutions, Excelsior made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Willem II and Excelsior — 4 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Edwards
Match Statistics
Willem II had 56% possession against Excelsior's 44%. Willem II registered 22 shots (6 on target) while Excelsior managed 18 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 13–9. Fouls committed: 11–9.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Willem II have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats. Excelsior show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Willem II
Excelsior
Willem II vs Excelsior Head to Head Results
Willem II and Excelsior have met 13 times — Willem II won 4, Excelsior won 4, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. A combined 36 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.77 per match (18 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (69%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (46%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Willem II are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2015.
4
Willem II
5
Drawn
4
Excelsior
Recent Meetings (13)
API data: 15 Mar 2026