22 October 2022 at 16:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ajax dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (11%) — the odds may underestimate Ajax.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 8.50 | 5.80 | 1.24 |
| Max | 11.00 | 7.00 | 1.28 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 10.6% | 14.1% | 75.3% |
| Public market | 11.1% | 13.5% | 75.4% |
Waalwijk vs Ajax — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2524/25 | Ajax | 2–1 | Waalwijk | 1.13/9.60/16.68 |
| 29/09/2424/25 | Waalwijk | 0–2 | Ajax | 7.26/5.36/1.36 |
| 21/01/2423/24 | Ajax | 4–1 | Waalwijk | 1.25/6.47/9.56 |
| 06/12/2323/24 | Waalwijk | 2–3 | Ajax | 4.97/4.47/1.58 |
| 12/02/2322/23 | Ajax | 3–1 | Waalwijk | 1.14/7.91/18.24 |
| 22/10/2222/23 | Waalwijk | 1–4 | Ajax | 9.52/6.54/1.26 |
| 06/03/2221/22 | Ajax | 3–2 | Waalwijk | 1.06/12.07/33.55 |
| 21/11/2121/22 | Waalwijk | 0–5 | Ajax | 20.41/8.09/1.13 |
| 11/04/2120/21 | Waalwijk | 0–1 | Ajax | 15.82/7.90/1.16 |
| 20/09/2020/21 | Ajax | 3–0 | Waalwijk | 1.05/13.66/36.35 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Waalwijk
Away Record: Ajax
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Ajax defeated Waalwijk 4:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2022. Goals were scored by S. Berghuis 22′, P. Clement 40′, S. Berghuis 53′, B. Brobbey 62′, B. Brobbey 81′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Waalwijk had 37% possession while Ajax held 63%. Waalwijk had 14 shots (4 on target) compared to 17 (8 on target) for Ajax. Waalwijk made 6 substitutions, Ajax made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Michiel Kramer 13′).
Match Events
Key match events between Waalwijk and Ajax — 5 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: S. Bergwijn
assist: M. Kramer
assist: J. Timber
assist: S. Berghuis
Match Statistics
Waalwijk had 37% possession against Ajax's 63%. Waalwijk registered 14 shots (4 on target) while Ajax managed 17 (8 on target). Corner kicks: 5–7. Fouls committed: 7–9.
Lineups
Waalwijk lined up in a 5-3-2 formation under J. Oosting, while Ajax deployed a 4-3-3 under A. Schreuder.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Waalwijk is 6.51, compared to 7.03 for Ajax. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Waalwijk's highest-rated starter is M. Kramer (6.51), while Ajax's best-rated player is S. Berghuis (7.29).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Waalwijk have contributed 1 goals and 0 assists this season, led by M. Kramer (1G). Ajax's starters account for 10 goals and 4 assists, spearheaded by D. Klaassen (6G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Waalwijk deploy 5 defenders rated — on average, against Ajax's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Waalwijk field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Ajax's 3 rated 7.10. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Waalwijk start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.51, compared to 3 for Ajax averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 74% for Waalwijk and 80% for Ajax. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Waalwijk's starters have collected 2 yellow cards this season, compared to 3 for Ajax. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Waalwijk's starting XI is 37.0 (youngest: M. Kramer (37), oldest: M. Kramer (37)), while Ajax average 32.8 (youngest: B. Brobbey (23), oldest: R. Pasveer (42)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Waalwijk's starters average 15 league appearances each, versus 12 for Ajax. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: J. Oosting
Substitutes
Coach: A. Schreuder
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Waalwijk have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Ajax show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Waalwijk
Ajax
Waalwijk vs Ajax Head to Head Results
Waalwijk and Ajax have met 18 times — Waalwijk won 0, Ajax won 17, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 56 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.11 per match (9 for the home side, 47 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (39%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (61%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ajax are currently unbeaten in the last 18 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2020.
0
Waalwijk
1
Drawn
17
Ajax
Recent Meetings (18)
API data: 15 Mar 2026