25 February 2023 at 17:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Max | 1.99 | 3.78 | 4.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 48.8% | 25.7% | 25.5% |
| Public market | 49.4% | 27.0% | 23.6% |
| Δ | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% |
Heerenveen vs Waalwijk — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2524/25 | Waalwijk | 3–1 | Heerenveen | 3.44/3.83/1.99 |
| 29/11/2424/25 | Heerenveen | 1–1 | Waalwijk | 1.69/4.09/4.67 |
| 30/03/2423/24 | Waalwijk | 1–1 | Heerenveen | 2.84/3.57/2.39 |
| 12/08/2323/24 | Heerenveen | 3–1 | Waalwijk | 1.72/3.95/4.32 |
| 25/02/2322/23 | Heerenveen | 1–4 | Waalwijk | 1.95/3.59/3.84 |
| 07/01/2322/23 | Waalwijk | 0–0 | Heerenveen | 2.46/3.54/2.75 |
| 12/03/2221/22 | Waalwijk | 0–0 | Heerenveen | 2.52/3.33/2.82 |
| 21/08/2121/22 | Heerenveen | 3–2 | Waalwijk | 1.76/3.59/4.75 |
| 14/01/2120/21 | Heerenveen | 1–1 | Waalwijk | 1.59/4.18/5.59 |
| 22/11/2020/21 | Waalwijk | 1–1 | Heerenveen | 4.16/3.99/1.77 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Heerenveen
Away Record: Waalwijk
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Waalwijk defeated Heerenveen 4:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2022. Goals were scored by S. van Hooijdonk 35′, F. Jozefzoon 61′, J. Lelieveld 75′, Y. Oukili 77′, F. Jozefzoon 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Heerenveen had 61% possession while Waalwijk held 39%. Heerenveen had 26 shots (8 on target) compared to 8 (4 on target) for Waalwijk. Heerenveen made 5 substitutions, Waalwijk made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Heerenveen and Waalwijk — 5 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Seuntjens
assist: M. Seuntjens
assist: M. Seuntjens
assist: S. Bakari
Match Statistics
Heerenveen had 61% possession against Waalwijk's 39%. Heerenveen registered 26 shots (8 on target) while Waalwijk managed 8 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 5–0. Fouls committed: 8–14.
Lineups
Heerenveen lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under K. van Wonderen, while Waalwijk deployed a 3-5-2 under J. Oosting.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Heerenveen is 6.30, compared to 6.51 for Waalwijk. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Heerenveen's highest-rated starter is P. Bochniewicz (6.30), while Waalwijk's best-rated player is M. Kramer (6.51).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Heerenveen have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Waalwijk's starters account for 1 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by M. Kramer (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Heerenveen deploy 4 defenders rated 6.30 on average, against Waalwijk's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Heerenveen field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Waalwijk's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Heerenveen start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Waalwijk averaging 6.51. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages —% for Heerenveen and 74% for Waalwijk. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Heerenveen's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 2 for Waalwijk. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Heerenveen's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: P. Bochniewicz (29), oldest: P. Bochniewicz (29)), while Waalwijk average 37.0 (youngest: M. Kramer (37), oldest: M. Kramer (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Heerenveen's starters average 1 league appearances each, versus 15 for Waalwijk. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: K. van Wonderen
Substitutes
Coach: J. Oosting
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Waalwijk show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Heerenveen
Waalwijk
Heerenveen vs Waalwijk Head to Head Results
Heerenveen and Waalwijk have met 17 times — Heerenveen won 8, Waalwijk won 2, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Heerenveen leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 45 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.65 per match (28 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (65%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2013.
8
Heerenveen
7
Drawn
2
Waalwijk
Recent Meetings (17)
API data: 15 Mar 2026