12 August 2023 at 16:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Waalwijk.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Max | 1.78 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 54.5% | 23.7% | 21.8% |
| Public market | 55.0% | 23.8% | 21.2% |
Heerenveen vs Waalwijk — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2524/25 | Waalwijk | 3–1 | Heerenveen | 3.44/3.83/1.99 |
| 29/11/2424/25 | Heerenveen | 1–1 | Waalwijk | 1.69/4.09/4.67 |
| 30/03/2423/24 | Waalwijk | 1–1 | Heerenveen | 2.84/3.57/2.39 |
| 12/08/2323/24 | Heerenveen | 3–1 | Waalwijk | 1.72/3.95/4.32 |
| 25/02/2322/23 | Heerenveen | 1–4 | Waalwijk | 1.95/3.59/3.84 |
| 07/01/2322/23 | Waalwijk | 0–0 | Heerenveen | 2.46/3.54/2.75 |
| 12/03/2221/22 | Waalwijk | 0–0 | Heerenveen | 2.52/3.33/2.82 |
| 21/08/2121/22 | Heerenveen | 3–2 | Waalwijk | 1.76/3.59/4.75 |
| 14/01/2120/21 | Heerenveen | 1–1 | Waalwijk | 1.59/4.18/5.59 |
| 22/11/2020/21 | Waalwijk | 1–1 | Heerenveen | 4.16/3.99/1.77 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Heerenveen
Away Record: Waalwijk
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Heerenveen defeated Waalwijk 3:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by I. Nicolăescu 24′, P. Bochniewicz 30′, O. Sahraoui 43′, M. Kramer 60′ (pen.). 1 yellow cards were shown. Heerenveen had 46% possession while Waalwijk held 54%. Heerenveen had 19 shots (9 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Waalwijk. Expected goals: Heerenveen 1.25 — Waalwijk 2.22. Heerenveen made 2 substitutions, Waalwijk made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Heerenveen and Waalwijk — 4 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: S. Olsson
assist: T. Haye
assist: A. Tahiri
Penalty
Match Statistics
Heerenveen had 46% possession against Waalwijk's 54%. Heerenveen registered 19 shots (9 on target) while Waalwijk managed 13 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 7–2. Fouls committed: 9–8.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Heerenveen have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Waalwijk show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Heerenveen
Waalwijk
Heerenveen vs Waalwijk Head to Head Results
Heerenveen and Waalwijk have met 17 times — Heerenveen won 7, Waalwijk won 3, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Heerenveen leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 46 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.71 per match (26 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (65%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2013.
7
Heerenveen
7
Drawn
3
Waalwijk
Recent Meetings (17)
API data: 15 Mar 2026