19 August 2023 at 14:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ajax dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
5.1
Average goals per game
100%
Games with 3+ goals
100%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 7.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.18 |
| Max | 10.04 | 6.56 | 1.27 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 9.6% | 14.7% | 75.8% |
| Public market | 9.5% | 14.6% | 75.9% |
Excelsior vs Ajax — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2625/26 | Excelsior | 2–2 | Ajax | 4.20/3.90/1.75 |
| 22/11/2525/26 | Ajax | 1–2 | Excelsior | 1.36/5.53/7.20 |
| 24/04/2423/24 | Ajax | 2–2 | Excelsior | 1.28/5.92/9.57 |
| 19/08/2323/24 | Excelsior | 2–2 | Ajax | 9.68/6.35/1.23 |
| 29/01/2322/23 | Excelsior | 1–4 | Ajax | 10.59/6.25/1.25 |
| 16/10/2222/23 | Ajax | 7–1 | Excelsior | 1.05/13.29/30.70 |
| 13/04/1918/19 | Ajax | 6–2 | Excelsior | 1.07/11.85/28.89 |
| 11/11/1818/19 | Excelsior | 1–7 | Ajax | 15.32/7.67/1.15 |
| 14/12/1717/18 | Ajax | 3–1 | Excelsior | 1.09/10.99/21.47 |
| 06/05/1817/18 | Excelsior | 1–2 | Ajax | 8.25/5.13/1.32 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Excelsior
Away Record: Ajax
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Excelsior and Ajax drew 2:2. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by B. Brobbey 25′, S. Horemans 45′, N. Agrafiotis 48′, D. Klaassen 72′. Excelsior had 32% possession while Ajax held 68%. Excelsior had 12 shots (2 on target) compared to 15 (8 on target) for Ajax. Expected goals: Excelsior 1.46 — Ajax 3.09. Excelsior made 5 substitutions, Ajax made 4. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Brian Brobbey 41′).
Match Events
Key match events between Excelsior and Ajax — 4 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Carlos Forbs
assist: L. Lamprou
assist: M. Kudus
Match Statistics
Excelsior had 32% possession against Ajax's 68%. Excelsior registered 12 shots (2 on target) while Ajax managed 15 (8 on target). Corner kicks: 4–10. Fouls committed: 7–7.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. Ajax show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Excelsior
Ajax
Excelsior vs Ajax Head to Head Results
Excelsior and Ajax have met 19 times — Excelsior won 1, Ajax won 14, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 77 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.05 per match (19 for the home side, 58 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (74%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (74%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Excelsior are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 7–1 in 2022.
1
Excelsior
4
Drawn
14
Ajax
Recent Meetings (19)
API data: 15 Mar 2026