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Excelsior vs Waalwijk

4 February 2023 at 20:00Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
00
Referee: M. Nagtegaal

Match Summary

Excelsior and Waalwijk drew 0:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Excelsior vs Waalwijk Head to Head Results· 5

Excelsior and Waalwijk have met 5 times — Excelsior won 1, Waalwijk won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Waalwijk leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 15 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (6 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Waalwijk are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2022.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Meetings

16/03/24Eredivisie
Match Details
02/12/23Eredivisie
Match Details
04/09/22Eredivisie
Match Details
03/03/12Eredivisie
Match Details
29/10/11Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Excelsior have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Waalwijk show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Excelsior

DWWDLD

Waalwijk

DLDDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Waalwijk.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

16 Mar 202423/242.27/3.55/3.08
Match Details
2 Dec 202323/242.04/3.91/3.22
Match Details
4 Feb 202322/232.67/3.59/2.53
Match Details
4 Sept 202222/231.70/4.09/4.63
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.4%Draw 27.9%Away 39.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.623.502.50
Max2.773.662.55
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 48.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.1%26.6%38.3%
Public market36.2%26.5%37.3%
Δ1.1%0.1%1.0%

Excelsior vs Waalwijk — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Waalwijk (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ExcelsiorHalf-time:00Waalwijk
15Shots17
3Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Excelsior

W 100D 102L 239
Over 2.561
Goals scored519

Away Record: Waalwijk

W 227D 187L 394
Over 2.556
Goals scored998

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026