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Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar

20 August 2023 at 15:45Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
13
Referee: A. Bos

Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar defeated Waalwijk 3:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar Head to Head Results· 18

Waalwijk and AZ Alkmaar have met 18 times — Waalwijk won 4, AZ Alkmaar won 12, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. AZ Alkmaar leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 61 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.39 per match (19 for the home side, 42 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (83%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. AZ Alkmaar are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2012.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
61 · 3.4/match
Both scored
9/18 · 50%
Over 2.5
15/18 · 83%

Recent Meetings

01/04/25Eredivisie
Match Details
30/08/24Eredivisie
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13/04/24Eredivisie
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23/04/23Eredivisie
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06/11/22Eredivisie
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15/05/22Eredivisie
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09/02/22KNVB Beker
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14/08/21Eredivisie
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01/05/21Eredivisie
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01/11/20Eredivisie
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Waalwijk have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. AZ Alkmaar show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Waalwijk

DLDDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

AZ Alkmaar dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (19%) — the odds may underestimate Waalwijk.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Apr 202524/251.31/5.91/8.62
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30 Aug 202424/257.30/4.63/1.43
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13 Apr 202423/241.30/5.61/9.63
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20 Aug 202323/245.07/4.10/1.59
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23 Apr 202322/231.34/5.27/8.60
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6 Nov 202222/234.05/3.96/1.81
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15 May 202221/221.25/6.03/10.64
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14 Aug 202121/226.83/4.65/1.45
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1 May 202120/217.31/5.07/1.39
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1 Nov 202020/211.23/6.23/12.07
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Market Summary

Margin: 7.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 19.7%Draw 24.4%Away 62.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.403.901.55
Max5.754.391.65
Over 2.5: 65.4%Under 2.5: 41.7%
Market favourite:AZ Alkmaar · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market19.2%22.1%58.8%
Public market16.4%23.6%60.0%
Δ2.8%1.5%1.3%

Waalwijk vs AZ Alkmaar — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AZ Alkmaar
Result vs. Market: AZ Alkmaar (63%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WaalwijkHalf-time:10AZ Alkmaar
7Shots15
5Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Waalwijk

W 227D 187L 394
Over 2.556
Goals scored998

Away Record: AZ Alkmaar

W 476D 211L 289
Over 2.562
Goals scored1759

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026