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NAC Breda vs Waalwijk

26 October 2024 at 19:00Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
41
Referee: J. Kooij

Match Summary

NAC Breda defeated Waalwijk 4:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

NAC Breda vs Waalwijk Head to Head Results· 12

NAC Breda and Waalwijk have met 12 times — NAC Breda won 5, Waalwijk won 6, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Waalwijk leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 45 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.75 per match (21 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (58%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2016.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
45 · 3.8/match
Both scored
7/12 · 58%
Over 2.5
9/12 · 75%

Recent Meetings

09/02/25Eredivisie
Match Details
19/07/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
18/08/20Friendlies Clubs
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25/09/18KNVB Beker
Match Details
10/02/17Eerste Divisie
Match Details
16/09/16Eerste Divisie
Match Details
27/04/14Eredivisie
Match Details
01/11/13Eredivisie
Match Details
26/01/13Eredivisie
Match Details
04/11/12Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, NAC Breda have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Waalwijk show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

NAC Breda

WLLDDL

Waalwijk

DLDDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Waalwijk dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Waalwijk.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 Feb 202524/252.59/3.49/2.57
Match Details
26 Oct 202424/251.85/3.86/3.80
Match Details
11 Jan 201313/142.40/3.56/2.77
27/04/1413/141.95/3.63/3.71
17/03/9998/99
20/12/9898/99
27/11/9797/98
18/10/9797/98
17/05/9796/97
29/09/9696/97

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.0%Draw 25.9%Away 26.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.703.60
Max1.864.103.99
Over 2.5: 57.1%Under 2.5: 48.8%
Market favourite:NAC Breda · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.1%25.1%23.8%
Public market50.9%23.0%26.2%
Δ0.2%2.2%2.3%

NAC Breda vs Waalwijk — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

NAC Breda
Result vs. Market: NAC Breda (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NAC BredaHalf-time:21Waalwijk
21Shots8
11Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: NAC Breda

W 265D 218L 366
Over 2.556
Goals scored1101

Away Record: Waalwijk

W 227D 187L 394
Over 2.556
Goals scored998

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026