Menu

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen

21 February 2026 at 20:00Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Home

Ajax

11
Referee: J. Manschot

Match Summary

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen drew 1:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2025.

Rivalry since 2010

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Head to Head Results· 21

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen have met 21 times — Ajax won 14, NEC Nijmegen won 1, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Ajax leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 75 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.57 per match (55 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (62%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 games (76%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–6 in 2012.

14
wins
Drawn
6
·
Total goals
75 · 3.6/match
Both scored
13/21 · 62%
Over 2.5
16/21 · 76%

Recent Meetings

20/12/25Eredivisie
Match Details
11/05/25Eredivisie
Match Details
01/12/24Eredivisie
Match Details
18/02/24Eredivisie
Match Details
03/12/23Eredivisie
Match Details
05/03/23Eredivisie
Match Details
08/01/23Eredivisie
Match Details
23/04/22Eredivisie
Match Details
14/08/21Eredivisie
Match Details
08/04/17Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 16 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Ajax have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. NEC Nijmegen show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Ajax

DWDLDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

5
wins
draws
4
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate NEC Nijmegen.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Feb 202625/261.75/4.33/4.00
Match Details
20 Dec 202525/262.29/3.96/2.72
Match Details
11 May 202524/251.31/5.57/8.78
Match Details
1 Dec 202424/254.45/3.95/1.71
Match Details
18 Feb 202423/241.40/5.28/6.37
Match Details
3 Dec 202323/244.22/4.35/1.69
Match Details
5 Mar 202322/231.23/6.30/11.60
Match Details
8 Jan 202322/237.55/5.37/1.37
Match Details
23 Apr 202221/2212.95/6.79/1.21
Match Details
14 Aug 202121/221.09/9.93/25.43
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.1%Draw 23.1%Away 25.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.754.334.00
Max1.754.334.00
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 37.0%
Market favourite:Ajax · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Ajax (57%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AjaxHalf-time:10NEC Nijmegen
9Shots18
4Shots on target9

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ajax

W 739D 213L 160
Over 2.565
Goals scored2743

Away Record: NEC Nijmegen

W 283D 238L 396
Over 2.553
Goals scored1183

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026