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NAC Breda vs Heerenveen

11 May 2026 at 13:30Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda

Match Summary

NAC Breda defeated Heerenveen 2:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2025. Goals were scored by B. Kemper 36′, B. Kemper 74′ (pen.). 2 yellow cards were shown. NAC Breda had 48% possession while Heerenveen held 52%. NAC Breda had 19 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (2 on target) for Heerenveen. Expected goals: NAC Breda 1.86 — Heerenveen 1.00. NAC Breda made 3 substitutions, Heerenveen made 4. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Dylan Vente 69′), Penalty confirmed (Boy Kemper 73′).

Match Events

Key match events between NAC Breda and Heerenveen — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
62′
L. OyenL. Nordas
VAR
69′Goal cancelled
Penalty confirmed73′
VAR
B. Kemper

Penalty

74′
81′
V. ZagaritisE. Gurbuz
Full Time

Match Statistics

NAC Breda had 48% possession against Heerenveen's 52%. NAC Breda registered 19 shots (4 on target) while Heerenveen managed 13 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 7–3. Fouls committed: 10–13.

Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots Off Goal
7
2
Total Shots
19
13
Blocked Shots
8
9
Shots inside the Box
11
9
Shots outside the Box
8
4
Fouls
10
13
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
0
3
Ball Possession
48%
52%
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
2
Total Passes
360
397
Accurate Passes
258
297
Pass Accuracy
72%
75%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
1.00
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.78
-0.78

Lineups

NAC Breda lined up in a 4-1-3-2 formation under Carl Hoefkens, while Heerenveen deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Robin Veldman.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for NAC Breda is 6.73, compared to 6.82 for Heerenveen. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. NAC Breda's highest-rated starter is D. Bielica (7.26), while Heerenveen's best-rated player is J. Trenskow (7.17).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of NAC Breda have contributed 11 goals and 11 assists this season, led by B. Kemper (5G). Heerenveen's starters account for 36 goals and 23 assists, spearheaded by J. Trenskow (12G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

NAC Breda deploy 4 defenders rated 6.69 on average, against Heerenveen's 4-man backline averaging 6.81. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

NAC Breda field 4 midfielders averaging 6.73, versus Heerenveen's 5 rated 6.90. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

NAC Breda start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.53, compared to 1 for Heerenveen averaging 6.42. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 77% for NAC Breda and 79% for Heerenveen. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

NAC Breda's starters have collected 34 yellow cards this season, compared to 33 for Heerenveen. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of NAC Breda's starting XI is 27.3 (youngest: C. Valerius (20), oldest: D. Odoi (37)), while Heerenveen average 23.5 (youngest: B. Klaverboer (20), oldest: S. Kersten (27)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

NAC Breda's starters average 25 league appearances each, versus 29 for Heerenveen. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

NAC Breda4-1-3-24-2-3-1Heerenveen
GKDEFMIDFWD
99Bielica3Odoi15Mahmuto.22Hillen4Kemper16Balard25Valerius14Sowah90Holtby24Ayew9Soumano22Klaverb.45Braude4Kersten3Willems.19Zagarit.8Brouwers16Linday20Trenskow10Meerveld11Oyen9Vente

Substitutes

Coach: Carl Hoefkens

Substitutes

Coach: Robin Veldman

NAC BredaPosition StrengthHeerenveen
6.73
Avg Rating
6.82
7.26Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.82
0G 0A0G 0A
6.69Defender (4 v 4)6.81
5G 4A4G 7A
6.73Midfielder (4 v 5)6.90
2G 7A25G 14A
6.53Forward (2 v 1)6.42
4G 0A7G 2A
NAC Breda4-1-3-2
99GoalkeeperD. Bielica7.3
3DefenderD. Odoi6.6
15DefenderE. Mahmutovic6.7
22DefenderR. Hillen6.71A
4DefenderB. Kemper6.85G3A
16MidfielderM. Balard6.81A
25MidfielderC. Valerius6.7
14MidfielderK. Sowah6.61G1A
90MidfielderL. Holtby6.81G5A
24ForwardA. Ayew6.51G
9ForwardM. Soumano6.63G
Heerenveen4-2-3-1
22GoalkeeperB. Klaverboer6.8
45DefenderO. Braude6.84A
4DefenderS. Kersten6.81G
3DefenderM. Willemsen6.81G
19DefenderV. Zagaritis6.92G3A
8MidfielderL. Brouwers7.05G4A
16MidfielderM. Linday6.91G2A
20MidfielderJ. Trenskow7.212G5A
10MidfielderR. Meerveld7.06G3A
11MidfielderL. Oyen6.51G
9ForwardD. Vente6.47G2A

Rivalry since 2010

NAC Breda vs Heerenveen Head to Head Results· 19

NAC Breda and Heerenveen have met 19 times — NAC Breda won 3, Heerenveen won 12, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Heerenveen leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 53 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.79 per match (19 for the home side, 34 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (42%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Heerenveen are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2025.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
53 · 2.8/match
Both scored
8/19 · 42%
Over 2.5
10/19 · 53%

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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, NAC Breda have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Heerenveen show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Match Prediction

Predicted winnerHeerenveen

NAC Breda

10%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Heerenveen

45%

Away win

Statistical tip

Double chance: draw or Heerenveen

17%Form83%
17%Attack83%
50%Defence50%
35%Goals65%
29%Head-to-head71%
31.3%Overall68.7%

Injuries & Suspensions

NAC Breda

  • DoubtfulL. Greiml
  • DoubtfulB. Lucassen
  • DoubtfulL. Greiml
  • DoubtfulB. Lucassen

Heerenveen

  • DoubtfulN. Hopland
  • DoubtfulA. Noppert
  • DoubtfulM. Rivera
  • DoubtfulL. Smans
  • DoubtfulA. van Axel Dongen
  • DoubtfulN. Hopland
  • DoubtfulA. Noppert
  • DoubtfulM. Rivera
  • DoubtfulL. Smans
  • DoubtfulA. van Axel Dongen

Bookmaker Odds

13 bookmakers

Best price

NAC Breda

2.55

Bet365

Draw

3.90

BetVictor

Heerenveen

2.68

1xBet

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate NAC Breda.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

10 May 202625/262.55/3.75/2.55
Match Details
24 Oct 202525/261.76/3.94/4.44
Match Details
12 Jan 202524/252.13/3.54/3.26
Match Details
31 Aug 202424/251.70/4.05/4.52
Match Details
12 May 201918/191.65/4.06/4.81
Match Details
22 Dec 201818/193.02/3.50/2.27
Match Details
16/12/1717/181.56/4.05/5.88
29/04/1817/182.62/3.46/2.54
13/12/1414/153.10/3.56/2.19
4 Apr 201514/151.43/4.65/6.71

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.2%Draw 26.7%Away 39.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.553.752.55
Max2.553.752.55
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 37.0%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

NAC Breda
Result vs. Market: NAC Breda (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NAC BredaHalf-time:10Heerenveen
19Shots13
4Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: NAC Breda

W 265D 218L 366
Over 2.556
Goals scored1101

Away Record: Heerenveen

W 440D 288L 385
Over 2.562
Goals scored1822

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 May 2026