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Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

28 September 2025 at 17:30Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Match Summary

KV Mechelen defeated Charleroi 2:0. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2025. Goals were scored by M. van Brederode 36′, L. Lauberbach 41′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Charleroi had 63% possession while KV Mechelen held 37%. Charleroi had 13 shots (6 on target) compared to 5 (3 on target) for KV Mechelen. Expected goals: Charleroi 0.59 — KV Mechelen 1.03. Charleroi made 5 substitutions, KV Mechelen made 3. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 62′).

Match Events

Key match events between Charleroi and KV Mechelen — 2 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
36′
M. van Brederode

assist: G. Diouf

Half Time
A. BoukamirF. Szymczak
46′
J. GaudinM. Nzita
46′
Penalty cancelled62′
VAR
A. BernierL. Blum
68′
C. KeitaR. Asante
78′
78′
M. van BrederodeB. Antonio
79′
86′
J. MarsaI. Struyf
Full Time

Match Statistics

Charleroi had 63% possession against KV Mechelen's 37%. Charleroi registered 13 shots (6 on target) while KV Mechelen managed 5 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 6–10.

Shots on Goal
6
3
Shots Off Goal
4
2
Total Shots
13
5
Blocked Shots
3
0
Shots inside the Box
5
3
Shots outside the Box
8
2
Fouls
6
10
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
1
0
Ball Possession
63%
37%
Yellow Cards
0
4
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
6
Total Passes
506
313
Accurate Passes
450
239
Pass Accuracy
89%
76%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
1.03
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.88
0.88

Rivalry since 2010

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen Head to Head Results· 40

Charleroi and KV Mechelen have met 40 times — Charleroi won 16, KV Mechelen won 12, with 12 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Charleroi leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 40 meetings. A combined 104 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.60 per match (59 for the home side, 45 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 18 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–2 in 2024.

16
wins
Drawn
12
·
Total goals
104 · 2.6/match
Both scored
17/40 · 43%
Over 2.5
18/40 · 45%

Recent Meetings

Match Details
04/12/25Cup
Match Details
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Highest-scoring game: 52 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Charleroi have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. KV Mechelen show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

KV Mechelen dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Dec 202525/262.90/3.30/2.35
Match Details
28 Sept 202525/262.01/3.58/3.51
Match Details
18 May 202524/252.32/3.54/2.88
Match Details
19 Apr 202524/252.20/3.41/3.25
Match Details
8 Mar 202524/252.09/3.41/3.41
Match Details
31 Aug 202424/252.64/3.46/2.56
Match Details
27 Dec 202323/242.10/3.35/3.45
Match Details
11 Nov 202323/242.60/3.52/2.55
Match Details
5 Feb 202322/232.23/3.47/3.03
Match Details
12 Nov 202222/232.25/3.55/3.00
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.6%Draw 28.0%Away 28.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.503.50
Max2.033.653.52
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite:Charleroi · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.9%26.1%27.0%
Public market46.7%26.7%26.7%

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

KV Mechelen
Result vs. Market: Charleroi (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CharleroiHalf-time:02KV Mechelen
13Shots5
6Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Charleroi

W 342D 255L 389
Over 2.552
Goals scored1267

Away Record: KV Mechelen

W 251D 182L 319
Over 2.555
Goals scored984

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026