1 March 2015 at 20:00

11
Full Time
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Real Madrid5wins
3draws10 meetings
Villarreal2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (80%) — the odds may underestimate Villarreal.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 81.5%Draw 15.1%Away 7.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.205.5012.00
Max1.257.3514.70
Market favourite:Real Madrid · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market79.9%13.4%6.7%
Public market79.1%13.6%7.3%

Real Madrid vs Villarreal — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Real Madrid (82%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Real MadridHalf-time:00Villarreal
25Shots9
7Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Villarreal0–2Real Madrid3.40/3.90/2.00
04/10/25Real Madrid3–1Villarreal1.46/5.19/5.91
15/03/25Villarreal1–2Real Madrid3.06/3.84/2.16
05/10/24Real Madrid2–0Villarreal1.28/6.30/9.35
19/05/24Villarreal4–4Real Madrid3.20/3.87/2.05
17/12/23Real Madrid4–1Villarreal1.27/6.27/9.24
08/04/23Real Madrid2–3Villarreal1.53/4.37/5.97
07/01/23Villarreal2–1Real Madrid3.36/3.79/2.06
12/02/22Villarreal0–0Real Madrid2.57/3.48/2.71
25/09/21Real Madrid0–0Villarreal1.51/4.71/6.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Real Madrid

W 802D 237L 216
Over 2.561
Goals scored2722

Away Record: Villarreal

W 407D 243L 293
Over 2.551
Goals scored1388

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Real Madrid and Villarreal drew 1:1. The match was played in La Liga 2014. Goals were scored by Cristiano Ronaldo 52′ (pen.), Gerard Moreno 64′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Real Madrid had 57% possession while Villarreal held 43%. Real Madrid made 3 substitutions, Villarreal made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Real Madrid and Villarreal — 2 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Real Madrid
Villarreal
Kick Off
Half Time
52′
61′
PinaTrigueros
62′
G. dos SantosL. Vietto
68′
Sergio MarcosJ. dos Santos
70′Jaume Costa
Lucas SilvaJesé
72′
IscoIllarramendi
78′
79′Sergio Asenjo
K. BenzemaJ. Hernández
81′
Pepe89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Real Madrid had 57% possession against Villarreal's 43%. Real Madrid registered 0 shots (7 on target) while Villarreal managed 0 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 10–4. Fouls committed: 7–19.

7Shots on Goal4
17Shots off Goal3
0Total Shots0
0Blocked Shots0
0Shots insidebox0
0Shots outsidebox0
7Fouls19
10Corner Kicks4
1Offsides0
57%Ball Possession43%
2Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Villarreal show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Real Madrid

WLDLLW

Villarreal

DWLWDW

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Head to Head Results

Real Madrid and Villarreal have met 30 times — Real Madrid won 16, Villarreal won 4, with 10 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 30 meetings. A combined 101 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.37 per match (63 for the home side, 38 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 21 matches (70%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 20 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Real Madrid are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–4 in 2024.

16

Real Madrid

10

Drawn

4

Villarreal

Goals: 63Goals: 38

Recent Meetings (30)

24 Jan 2026Villarreal0 – 2Real Madrid
4 Oct 2025Real Madrid3 – 1Villarreal
15 Mar 2025Villarreal1 – 2Real Madrid
5 Oct 2024Real Madrid2 – 0Villarreal
19 May 2024Villarreal4 – 4Real Madrid
17 Dec 2023Real Madrid4 – 1Villarreal
8 Apr 2023Real Madrid2 – 3Villarreal
19 Jan 2023Villarreal2 – 3Real Madrid
7 Jan 2023Villarreal2 – 1Real Madrid
12 Feb 2022Villarreal0 – 0Real Madrid
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026