Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.2
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Real Madrid.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.87 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
| Max | 3.04 | 3.86 | 2.30 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 32.2% | 25.3% | 42.5% |
| Public market | 33.0% | 24.9% | 42.1% |
Villarreal vs Real Madrid — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2625/26 | Villarreal | 0–2 | Real Madrid | 3.40/3.90/2.00 |
| 04/10/2525/26 | Real Madrid | 3–1 | Villarreal | 1.46/5.19/5.91 |
| 15/03/2524/25 | Villarreal | 1–2 | Real Madrid | 3.06/3.84/2.16 |
| 05/10/2424/25 | Real Madrid | 2–0 | Villarreal | 1.28/6.30/9.35 |
| 19/05/2423/24 | Villarreal | 4–4 | Real Madrid | 3.20/3.87/2.05 |
| 17/12/2323/24 | Real Madrid | 4–1 | Villarreal | 1.27/6.27/9.24 |
| 08/04/2322/23 | Real Madrid | 2–3 | Villarreal | 1.53/4.37/5.97 |
| 07/01/2322/23 | Villarreal | 2–1 | Real Madrid | 3.36/3.79/2.06 |
| 12/02/2221/22 | Villarreal | 0–0 | Real Madrid | 2.57/3.48/2.71 |
| 25/09/2121/22 | Real Madrid | 0–0 | Villarreal | 1.51/4.71/6.00 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Villarreal
Away Record: Real Madrid
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Villarreal and Real Madrid drew 1:1. The match was played in La Liga 2020. Goals were scored by M. Díaz 2′, Gerard Moreno 76′ (pen.). 3 yellow cards were shown. Villarreal had 47% possession while Real Madrid held 53%. Villarreal had 13 shots (1 on target) compared to 6 (1 on target) for Real Madrid. Villarreal made 5 substitutions, Real Madrid made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Villarreal and Real Madrid — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Carvajal
Penalty
Match Statistics
Villarreal had 47% possession against Real Madrid's 53%. Villarreal registered 13 shots (1 on target) while Real Madrid managed 6 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 4–2. Fouls committed: 16–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Real Madrid show 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Head to Head Results
Villarreal and Real Madrid have met 30 times — Villarreal won 4, Real Madrid won 16, with 10 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 30 meetings. A combined 101 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.37 per match (38 for the home side, 63 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 21 matches (70%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 20 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Real Madrid are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–4 in 2024.
4
Villarreal
10
Drawn
16
Real Madrid
Recent Meetings (30)
API data: 15 Mar 2026