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Real Madrid vs Almeria

29 April 2023 at 17:30Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Match Summary

Real Madrid defeated Almeria 4:2. The match was played in La Liga 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Real Madrid vs Almeria Head to Head Results· 9

Real Madrid and Almeria have met 9 times — Real Madrid won 8, Almeria won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Real Madrid leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.44 per match (33 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (89%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Real Madrid are currently unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 8–1 in 2011.

Drawn
1
·
0
wins
Total goals
40 · 4.4/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
8/9 · 89%

Recent Meetings

21/01/24La Liga
Match Details
19/08/23La Liga
Match Details
14/08/22La Liga
Match Details
29/04/15La Liga
Match Details
12/12/14La Liga
Match Details
12/04/14La Liga
Match Details
23/11/13La Liga
Match Details
21/05/11La Liga
Match Details
16/01/11La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 81 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Almeria show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Almeria

LLDWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.4

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Real Madrid dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
8 meetings
0
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (82%) — the odds may underestimate Real Madrid.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Jan 202423/241.13/9.36/16.60
Match Details
19 Aug 202323/247.88/4.75/1.37
Match Details
29 Apr 202322/231.15/8.28/16.16
Match Details
14 Aug 202222/237.29/4.87/1.42
Match Details
12 Dec 201414/1517.73/7.98/1.17
29/04/1514/151.08/12.30/30.00
23/11/1313/149.97/5.37/1.31
4 Dec 201413/141.06/15.00/36.83

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 87.0%Draw 12.1%Away 6.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.147.5014.49
Max1.178.8419.00
Over 2.5: 76.9%Under 2.5: 28.6%
Market favourite:Real Madrid · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market82.4%10.9%6.7%
Public market82.6%11.1%6.3%

Real Madrid vs Almeria — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Real Madrid
Result vs. Market: Real Madrid (87%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Real MadridHalf-time:31Almeria
15Shots9
12Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Real Madrid

W 805D 238L 217
Over 2.561
Goals scored2729

Away Record: Almeria

W 76D 76L 152
Over 2.552
Goals scored336

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026