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Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano

14 September 2025 at 17:30Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Referee: César Soto Grado

Match Summary

Osasuna defeated Rayo Vallecano 2:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by R. Garcia 15′, I. Benito 77′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Osasuna had 36% possession while Rayo Vallecano held 64%. Osasuna had 9 shots (7 on target) compared to 19 (6 on target) for Rayo Vallecano. Expected goals: Osasuna 1.59 — Rayo Vallecano 1.09. Osasuna made 3 substitutions, Rayo Vallecano made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano — 2 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
10′
Luiz FelipeJ. Vertrouwd
Half Time
V. MunozR. Garcia
60′
R. GarciaA. Budimir
60′
64′
U. LopezAlemao
65′
A. GarciaS. Camello
A. OrozI. Benito
71′
I. Benito

assist: J. Moncayola

77′
81′
P. DiazO. Trejo
81′
F. LejeuneS. Becerra
Full Time

Match Statistics

Osasuna had 36% possession against Rayo Vallecano's 64%. Osasuna registered 9 shots (7 on target) while Rayo Vallecano managed 19 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 3–6. Fouls committed: 13–7.

Shots on Goal
7
6
Shots Off Goal
1
7
Total Shots
9
19
Blocked Shots
1
6
Shots inside the Box
6
12
Shots outside the Box
3
7
Fouls
13
7
Corner Kicks
3
6
Offsides
0
1
Ball Possession
36%
64%
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
4
Total Passes
306
539
Accurate Passes
231
471
Pass Accuracy
75%
87%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
1.09
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.03
0.03

Rivalry since 2011

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Results· 17

Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano have met 17 times — Osasuna won 8, Rayo Vallecano won 5, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Osasuna leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 45 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.65 per match (24 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (59%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–0 in 2012.

8
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
45 · 2.6/match
Both scored
9/17 · 53%
Over 2.5
10/17 · 59%

Recent Meetings

24/01/26La Liga
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19/01/25La Liga
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16/09/24La Liga
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20/04/24La Liga
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15/12/23La Liga
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14/04/23La Liga
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04/09/22La Liga
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12/02/22La Liga
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02/10/21La Liga
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02/02/18Segunda División
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 60 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Osasuna have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Rayo Vallecano show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Osasuna dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

6
wins
draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Osasuna.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/262.15/3.25/3.60
Match Details
14 Sept 202525/262.54/3.19/2.99
Match Details
19 Jan 202524/252.19/3.08/3.70
Match Details
16 Sept 202424/252.08/3.16/4.01
Match Details
20 Apr 202423/242.20/3.14/3.61
Match Details
15 Dec 202323/242.20/3.20/3.51
Match Details
14 Apr 202322/232.21/3.08/3.72
Match Details
4 Sept 202222/232.02/3.10/4.38
Match Details
12 Feb 202221/222.19/3.19/3.64
Match Details
2 Oct 202121/222.20/3.37/3.41
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.3%Draw 31.3%Away 33.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.543.182.90
Max2.553.203.08
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.1%30.4%31.4%
Public market37.4%29.8%32.9%
Δ0.8%0.7%1.4%

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Osasuna
Result vs. Market: Osasuna (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

OsasunaHalf-time:10Rayo Vallecano
9Shots19
7Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Osasuna

W 266D 240L 366
Over 2.543
Goals scored939

Away Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 208D 164L 318
Over 2.553
Goals scored793

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026