23 April 2016 at 14:00

13
Full Time
Referee: Martin Coy

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Millwall dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bury0wins
1draws4 meetings
Millwall3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (25%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 26.2%Draw 28.7%Away 48.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.603.402.00
Max4.003.602.11
Market favourite:Millwall · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market25.4%28.3%46.3%
Public market24.3%27.0%48.6%
Δ1.1%1.3%2.4%

Bury vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Millwall (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BuryHalf-time:12Millwall
10Shots13
5Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
26/11/16Bury2–3Millwall3.66/3.46/2.12
18/03/17Millwall0–0Bury1.68/3.86/5.51
28/11/15Millwall1–0Bury1.85/3.80/4.26
23/04/16Bury1–3Millwall3.81/3.48/2.05

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bury

W 61D 60L 109
Over 2.553
Goals scored263

Away Record: Millwall

W 126D 61L 89
Over 2.548
Goals scored382

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Bury 3:1. The match was played in League One 2015.

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Bury have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats. Millwall show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bury

WWDWWW

Millwall

WDLWDL
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026