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Oxford United vs Burton Albion

3 September 2022 at 15:00The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire

Match Summary

Oxford United defeated Burton Albion 2:1. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Oxford United vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 19

Oxford United and Burton Albion have met 19 times — Oxford United won 8, Burton Albion won 6, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Oxford United leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 19 meetings. A combined 62 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.26 per match (37 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 games (63%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2021.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
62 · 3.3/match
Both scored
10/19 · 53%
Over 2.5
12/19 · 63%

Recent Meetings

06/04/24League One
Match Details
16/12/23League One
Match Details
28/01/23League One
Match Details
05/03/22League One
Match Details
23/10/21League One
Match Details
09/05/21League One
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02/01/21League One
Match Details
11/02/20League One
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20/08/19League One
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02/02/19League One
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Highest-scoring game: 15 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Oxford United have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.1

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Oxford United dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (60%) — the odds may underestimate Oxford United.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Apr 202423/243.50/3.52/2.08
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16 Dec 202323/241.58/3.95/5.84
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28 Jan 202322/232.78/3.66/2.41
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3 Sept 202222/231.60/4.13/5.42
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5 Mar 202221/221.68/3.95/4.79
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23 Oct 202121/222.87/3.25/2.46
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9 May 202120/211.66/3.98/4.97
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2 Jan 202120/213.71/3.77/1.92
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11 Feb 202019/202.64/3.08/2.89
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20 Aug 201919/202.35/3.33/3.17
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Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 62.4%Draw 24.2%Away 18.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.604.005.25
Max1.614.285.50
Over 2.5: 58.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Oxford United · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market59.9%22.5%17.5%
Public market59.5%23.2%17.3%

Oxford United vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Oxford United
Result vs. Market: Oxford United (62%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Oxford UnitedHalf-time:00Burton Albion
8Shots9
4Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Oxford United

W 144D 87L 126
Over 2.555
Goals scored532

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026