Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.9
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.
Market Summary
Margin: 3.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Max | 1.91 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 51.1% | 26.2% | 22.7% |
| Public market | 51.3% | 26.1% | 22.6% |
Burton Albion vs Northampton — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/1414/15 | Northampton | 1–2 | Burton Albion | 2.30/3.34/3.21 |
| 25/04/1514/15 | Burton Albion | 3–1 | Northampton | 1.91/3.65/4.20 |
| 26/12/1313/14 | Burton Albion | 1–0 | Northampton | 1.80/3.56/4.66 |
| 12/04/1413/14 | Northampton | 1–0 | Burton Albion | 3.25/3.24/2.36 |
| 29/09/1212/13 | Burton Albion | 3–3 | Northampton | 2.37/3.31/3.07 |
| 19/01/1312/13 | Northampton | 1–0 | Burton Albion | 2.06/3.53/3.75 |
| 26/12/1111/12 | Northampton | 2–3 | Burton Albion | 2.59/3.37/2.58 |
| 20/03/1211/12 | Burton Albion | 0–1 | Northampton | 2.67/3.26/2.59 |
| 05/04/1110/11 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Northampton | 2.38/3.30/2.88 |
| 01/03/1110/11 | Northampton | 2–3 | Burton Albion | 2.00/3.36/3.72 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Burton Albion
Away Record: Northampton
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Burton Albion defeated Northampton 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2014. Goals were scored by Z. Diamond 4′ (o.g.), P. Edwards 31′, L. Akins 41′ (pen.), L. D'Ath 53′. Burton Albion made 3 substitutions, Northampton made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Burton Albion and Northampton — 4 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
assist: A. El Khayati
Penalty
assist: J. Byrom
Lineups
Burton Albion lined up in a — formation, while Northampton deployed a —.
Midfield Control
Burton Albion field 11 midfielders averaging —, versus Northampton's 11 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Northampton show 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 outings.
Burton Albion
Northampton
Burton Albion vs Northampton Head to Head Results
Burton Albion and Northampton have met 2 times — Burton Albion won 2, Northampton won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Burton Albion leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (7 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2025.
2
Burton Albion
0
Drawn
0
Northampton
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 16 Apr 2026