7 May 2016 at 14:00

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AFC Wimbledon3wins
5draws10 meetings
Newport County2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Newport County.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.1%Draw 27.3%Away 21.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.803.204.50
Max1.834.004.80
Market favourite:AFC Wimbledon · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.9%24.4%21.7%
Public market54.0%25.6%20.5%
Δ1.2%1.2%

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AFC Wimbledon
Result vs. Market: AFC Wimbledon (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AFC WimbledonHalf-time:00Newport County
15Shots9
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/01/25Newport County1–2AFC Wimbledon4.88/3.95/1.65
03/12/24AFC Wimbledon2–2Newport County1.40/4.59/7.74
16/03/24AFC Wimbledon0–2Newport County1.72/3.79/4.83
02/09/23Newport County2–2AFC Wimbledon2.53/3.20/2.79
14/03/23Newport County1–1AFC Wimbledon2.00/3.19/4.20
26/12/22AFC Wimbledon1–1Newport County2.48/3.19/2.92
19/12/15Newport County2–2AFC Wimbledon3.40/3.51/2.18
07/05/16AFC Wimbledon1–0Newport County1.81/3.67/4.68
27/09/14Newport County4–1AFC Wimbledon2.04/3.43/3.91
07/02/15AFC Wimbledon2–0Newport County2.51/3.40/2.92

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Away Record: Newport County

W 194D 153L 238
Over 2.547
Goals scored682

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon defeated Newport County 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2015. Goals were scored by T. Olusanya 80′ (pen.). AFC Wimbledon made 3 substitutions, Newport County made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between AFC Wimbledon and Newport County — 1 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.

AFC Wimbledon
Newport County
Kick Off
C. SmithT. Beere
38′
Half Time
62′
L. John-LewisS. Coulibaly
A. AzeezS. Rigg
63′
63′
T. Owen-EvansT. O'Sullivan
R. MurphyT. Olusanya
73′
80′
83′
S. BarrowT. Meechan
Full Time

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon lined up in a — formation, while Newport County deployed a —.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for AFC Wimbledon is 6.76, compared to — for Newport County. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. AFC Wimbledon's highest-rated starter is J. Reeves (6.76), while Newport County's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of AFC Wimbledon have contributed 1 goals and 3 assists this season, led by J. Reeves (1G). Newport County's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Midfield Control

AFC Wimbledon field 11 midfielders averaging 6.76, versus Newport County's 11 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 78% for AFC Wimbledon and —% for Newport County. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

AFC Wimbledon's starters have collected 9 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Newport County. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of AFC Wimbledon's starting XI is 32.0 (youngest: J. Reeves (32), oldest: J. Reeves (32)), while Newport County average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

AFC Wimbledon's starters average 37 league appearances each, versus 0 for Newport County. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

AFC WimbledonPosition StrengthNewport County
6.76
Avg Rating
6.76Midfielder (11 v 11)
1G 3A0G 0A
AFC Wimbledon
1MidfielderJ. Shea
2MidfielderB. Fuller
3MidfielderC. Kennedy
5MidfielderW. Nightingale
20MidfielderR. Sweeney
8MidfielderJ. Reeves6.81G3A
18MidfielderC. Smith
19MidfielderD. Fitzpatrick
10MidfielderA. Akinfenwa
39MidfielderR. Murphy
14MidfielderA. Azeez
Newport County
1MidfielderR. Taylor
2MidfielderD. Holmes
16MidfielderA. Hughes
5MidfielderB. Davies
21MidfielderM. Partridge
23MidfielderA. Rodman
33MidfielderM. Byrne
3MidfielderS. Barrow
10MidfielderL. John-Lewis
19MidfielderS. Boden
20MidfielderT. Owen-Evans

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, AFC Wimbledon have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats. Newport County show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

AFC Wimbledon

LLLLLL

Newport County

LWLLWL
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 16 Apr 2026