Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 3.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.59 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Max | 2.60 | 3.43 | 2.90 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 37.6% | 28.4% | 34.0% |
| Public market | 37.6% | 28.7% | 33.7% |
Notts County vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2524/25 | Notts County | 1–0 | Carlisle | 1.59/4.22/5.07 |
| 01/10/2424/25 | Carlisle | 0–2 | Notts County | 2.70/3.62/2.44 |
| 12/03/1918/19 | Carlisle | 1–3 | Notts County | 2.04/3.57/3.67 |
| 27/11/1818/19 | Notts County | 1–1 | Carlisle | 2.78/3.30/2.67 |
| 13/02/1817/18 | Notts County | 2–1 | Carlisle | 2.01/3.55/3.85 |
| 21/10/1717/18 | Carlisle | 1–1 | Notts County | 2.59/3.34/2.84 |
| 31/12/1616/17 | Notts County | 2–3 | Carlisle | 3.31/3.37/2.29 |
| 08/04/1716/17 | Carlisle | 1–2 | Notts County | 2.51/3.44/2.87 |
| 19/12/1515/16 | Carlisle | 3–0 | Notts County | 2.72/3.60/2.57 |
| 07/05/1615/16 | Notts County | 0–5 | Carlisle | 2.60/3.31/2.86 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Notts County
Away Record: Carlisle
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Carlisle defeated Notts County 5:0. The match was played in League Two 2015. Goals were scored by A. Gilliead 4′, D. Grainger 28′, J. Ibehre 40′, J. Ibehre 54′, C. Wyke 80′. Notts County made 3 substitutions, Carlisle made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Notts County and Carlisle — 5 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: H. Hope
assist: J. Ibehre
assist: J. Kennedy
assist: H. Hope
Lineups
Notts County lined up in a — formation, while Carlisle deployed a —.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Notts County is —, compared to 7.30 for Carlisle. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Notts County's highest-rated starter is —, while Carlisle's best-rated player is A. Gilliead (7.30).
Midfield Control
Notts County field 11 midfielders averaging —, versus Carlisle's 11 rated 7.30. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages —% for Notts County and 75% for Carlisle. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Notts County's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Carlisle. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Notts County's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Carlisle average 29.0 (youngest: A. Gilliead (29), oldest: A. Gilliead (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Notts County's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 2 for Carlisle. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Notts County have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Carlisle show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Notts County
Carlisle
API data: 16 Apr 2026