Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Exeter City dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Exeter City.
Market Summary
Margin: 3.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.84 |
| Max | 1.96 | 3.92 | 4.20 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 49.7% | 24.9% | 25.4% |
| Public market | 50.0% | 25.6% | 24.4% |
| Δ | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% |
Carlisle vs Exeter City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2221/22 | Carlisle | 0–1 | Exeter City | 4.14/3.35/1.93 |
| 20/11/2121/22 | Exeter City | 2–1 | Carlisle | 1.75/3.81/4.34 |
| 30/01/2120/21 | Carlisle | 1–0 | Exeter City | 2.03/3.33/3.81 |
| 31/10/2020/21 | Exeter City | 1–0 | Carlisle | 2.35/3.25/3.13 |
| 07/09/1919/20 | Carlisle | 1–3 | Exeter City | 2.86/3.40/2.52 |
| 09/02/1918/19 | Carlisle | 1–1 | Exeter City | 2.37/3.39/3.04 |
| 04/08/1818/19 | Exeter City | 3–1 | Carlisle | 2.26/3.35/3.34 |
| 10/03/1817/18 | Exeter City | 1–1 | Carlisle | 2.80/3.44/2.56 |
| 07/10/1717/18 | Carlisle | 0–1 | Exeter City | 2.54/3.49/2.80 |
| 19/11/1616/17 | Carlisle | 3–2 | Exeter City | 1.94/3.71/4.01 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Carlisle
Away Record: Exeter City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Carlisle and Exeter City drew 3:3. The match was played in League Two 2016. Goals were scored by J. Grant 15′, J. Moore-Taylor 32′ (o.g.), R. Harley 45′, D. Wheeler 56′, J. O'Sullivan 71′, S. Miller 73′. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Exeter City made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Carlisle and Exeter City — 6 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: O. Watkins
Own Goal
assist: J. Grant
assist: J. Grant
assist: L. Joyce
assist: N. Adams
Lineups
Carlisle lined up in a — formation under K. Curle, while Exeter City deployed a — under P. Tisdale.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Carlisle is —, compared to 6.95 for Exeter City. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is —, while Exeter City's best-rated player is P. Sweeney (6.95).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Carlisle have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Exeter City's starters account for 2 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by P. Sweeney (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Midfield Control
Carlisle field 11 midfielders averaging —, versus Exeter City's 11 rated 6.95. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages —% for Carlisle and 77% for Exeter City. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Carlisle's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Exeter City. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Exeter City average 31.0 (youngest: P. Sweeney (31), oldest: P. Sweeney (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Carlisle's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 38 for Exeter City. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Exeter City show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Carlisle
Exeter City
API data: 16 Apr 2026