5 May 2018 at 14:00

Referee: Gavin Ward

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Swindon Town4wins
3draws10 meetings
Accrington ST3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.3%Draw 28.5%Away 44.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.302.25
Max3.293.622.32
Market favourite:Accrington ST · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.3%26.8%41.9%
Public market29.6%27.1%43.3%
Δ1.7%0.2%1.5%

Swindon Town vs Accrington ST — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swindon Town
Result vs. Market: Accrington ST (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:20Accrington ST
10Shots10
6Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/02/12Swindon Town2–0Accrington ST1.44/4.03/6.68
18/10/25Accrington ST4–0Swindon Town3.67/3.59/1.90
22/03/25Swindon Town0–0Accrington ST1.94/3.45/3.88
16/11/24Accrington ST2–2Swindon Town2.27/3.56/2.96
12/03/24Swindon Town1–2Accrington ST1.82/3.99/3.98
28/11/23Accrington ST3–4Swindon Town2.15/3.64/3.16
05/05/18Swindon Town3–0Accrington ST3.20/3.51/2.27
06/02/18Accrington ST2–1Swindon Town2.24/3.47/3.30
15/10/11Accrington ST0–2Swindon Town2.76/3.30/2.49
07/10/06Accrington ST1–1Swindon Town2.51/3.16/2.51

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 107L 140
Over 2.554
Goals scored674

Away Record: Accrington ST

W 247D 169L 270
Over 2.550
Goals scored879

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Swindon Town defeated Accrington ST 3:0. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by M. Richards 14′, K. Anderson 43′, P. Mullin 55′. 2 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Swindon Town made 3 substitutions, Accrington ST made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Swindon Town and Accrington ST — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Swindon Town
Accrington ST
Kick Off
M. Richards

assist: K. Knoyle

14′
K. Anderson

assist: J. Dunne

43′
Half Time
P. Mullin

assist: M. Richards

55′
60′
C. JohnsonÉrico Sousa
R. MenayeseE. Iandolo
64′
71′
S. ConneelyS. Brown
72′
S. McConvilleO. Zanzala
E. IandoloJ. Romanski
73′
J. EdwardsT. Elšnik
81′
James Dunne85′
Full Time

Lineups

Swindon Town lined up in a — formation under P. Brown, while Accrington ST deployed a — under J. Coleman.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Swindon Town is —, compared to 6.84 for Accrington ST. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Swindon Town's highest-rated starter is —, while Accrington ST's best-rated player is S. Conneely (6.84).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Swindon Town have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Accrington ST's starters account for 1 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by S. Conneely (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Swindon Town deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Accrington ST's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Swindon Town field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Accrington ST's 4 rated 6.84. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Swindon Town start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Accrington ST averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Swindon Town and 71% for Accrington ST. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Swindon Town's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Accrington ST. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Swindon Town's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Accrington ST average 37.0 (youngest: S. Conneely (37), oldest: S. Conneely (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Swindon Town's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 33 for Accrington ST. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Swindon TownPosition StrengthAccrington ST
Avg Rating
6.84
Midfielder (5 v 4)6.84
0G 0A1G 0A
Swindon Town
28GoalkeeperS. Moore
34DefenderR. McGivern
24DefenderK. Knoyle
31DefenderM. Taylor
16MidfielderA. Linganzi
8MidfielderJ. Dunne
32MidfielderR. Menayese
35MidfielderJ. Edwards
30MidfielderK. Anderson
7ForwardP. Mullin
17ForwardM. Richards
Accrington ST
1GoalkeeperA. Chapman
3DefenderM. Hughes
4DefenderJ. Donacien
2DefenderJ. Dunne
26DefenderC. Johnson
28MidfielderS. Conneely6.81G
6MidfielderL. Nolan
11MidfielderS. McConville
7MidfielderJ. Clark
29ForwardB. Kee
10ForwardK. Jackson

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Accrington ST show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Swindon Town

DLWDDW

Accrington ST

DLLLWL

Swindon Town vs Accrington ST Head to Head Results

Swindon Town and Accrington ST have met 2 times — Swindon Town won 0, Accrington ST won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Accrington ST leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (2 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2026.

0

Swindon Town

1

Drawn

1

Accrington ST

Goals: 2Goals: 6

Recent Meetings (2)

18 Apr 2026Swindon Town2 – 2Accrington ST
18 Oct 2025Accrington ST4 – 0Swindon Town
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 16 Apr 2026