5 December 2020 at 15:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Port Vale.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Max | 2.30 | 3.64 | 3.08 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 42.0% | 26.6% | 31.4% |
| Public market | 41.3% | 27.1% | 31.6% |
Bolton vs Port Vale — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Bolton
Away Record: Port Vale
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Port Vale defeated Bolton 6:3. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by E. Oyeleke 6′, L. Legge 9′, G. Jones 11′, T. Conlon 42′ (pen.), C. Montaño 46′, D. Worrall 50′, N. Smith 62′, E. Doyle 66′, L. Isgrove 78′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Bolton had 66% possession while Port Vale held 34%. Bolton had 19 shots (7 on target) compared to 14 (11 on target) for Port Vale. Bolton made 5 substitutions, Port Vale made 2.
Match Events
Key match events between Bolton and Port Vale — 9 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: C. Montaño
assist: D. Worrall
Penalty
assist: D. Rodney
assist: E. Oyeleke
assist: D. Worrall
assist: R. Greenidge
assist: G. Jones
Match Statistics
Bolton had 66% possession against Port Vale's 34%. Bolton registered 19 shots (7 on target) while Port Vale managed 14 (11 on target). Corner kicks: 5–5. Fouls committed: 11–14.
Lineups
Bolton lined up in a 3-4-1-2 formation under I. Evatt, while Port Vale deployed a 4-3-3 under J. Askey.
Defensive Solidity
Bolton deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Port Vale's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Bolton field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Port Vale's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Bolton start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Port Vale averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: I. Evatt
Substitutes
Coach: J. Askey
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Port Vale show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Bolton
Port Vale
Bolton vs Port Vale Head to Head Results
Bolton and Port Vale have met 13 times — Bolton won 10, Port Vale won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Bolton leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.23 per match (23 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (23%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2021.
10
Bolton
1
Drawn
2
Port Vale
Recent Meetings (13)
API data: 16 Apr 2026