1 May 2021 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
100%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Exeter City.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Max | 2.15 | 3.61 | 3.40 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 44.7% | 26.6% | 28.6% |
| Public market | 44.5% | 27.3% | 28.1% |
Bolton vs Exeter City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2120/21 | Bolton | 1–2 | Exeter City | 2.15/3.47/3.32 |
| 12/01/2120/21 | Exeter City | 1–1 | Bolton | 1.79/3.73/4.39 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Bolton
Away Record: Exeter City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Exeter City defeated Bolton 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by G. Jones 15′, R. Williams 49′, P. Sweeney 90′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Bolton had 49% possession while Exeter City held 51%. Bolton had 17 shots (2 on target) compared to 17 (5 on target) for Exeter City. Bolton made 4 substitutions, Exeter City made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Bolton and Exeter City — 3 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Sarcevic
assist: R. Willmott
assist: J. Sparkes
Match Statistics
Bolton had 49% possession against Exeter City's 51%. Bolton registered 17 shots (2 on target) while Exeter City managed 17 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 7–3. Fouls committed: 14–13.
Lineups
Bolton lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under I. Evatt, while Exeter City deployed a 4-4-2 under M. Taylor.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Bolton is —, compared to 6.95 for Exeter City. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Bolton's highest-rated starter is —, while Exeter City's best-rated player is P. Sweeney (6.95).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Bolton have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Exeter City's starters account for 2 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by P. Sweeney (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Bolton deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Exeter City's 4-man backline averaging 6.95. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Bolton field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Exeter City's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Bolton start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Exeter City averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages —% for Bolton and 77% for Exeter City. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Bolton's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Exeter City. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Bolton's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Exeter City average 31.0 (youngest: P. Sweeney (31), oldest: P. Sweeney (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Bolton's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 38 for Exeter City. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: I. Evatt
Substitutes
Coach: M. Taylor
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Exeter City show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Bolton
Exeter City
Bolton vs Exeter City Head to Head Results
Bolton and Exeter City have met 2 times — Bolton won 2, Exeter City won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Bolton leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 9 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.50 per match (7 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2026.
2
Bolton
0
Drawn
0
Exeter City
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 16 Apr 2026