1 May 2021 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.7
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (17%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.90 | 3.19 | 2.35 |
| Max | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 31.3% | 30.2% | 38.5% |
| Public market | 30.8% | 28.9% | 40.3% |
| Δ | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% |
Leyton Orient vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2322/23 | Leyton Orient | 1–0 | Carlisle | 2.26/3.03/3.56 |
| 22/10/2222/23 | Carlisle | 2–3 | Leyton Orient | 2.76/3.18/2.64 |
| 26/02/2221/22 | Leyton Orient | 0–1 | Carlisle | 1.81/3.52/4.51 |
| 21/08/2121/22 | Carlisle | 1–1 | Leyton Orient | 2.14/3.26/3.50 |
| 01/05/2120/21 | Leyton Orient | 2–3 | Carlisle | 3.03/3.23/2.41 |
| 23/03/2120/21 | Carlisle | 0–1 | Leyton Orient | 2.08/3.34/3.60 |
| 26/10/1919/20 | Leyton Orient | 1–1 | Carlisle | 2.07/3.72/3.50 |
| 10/09/1616/17 | Carlisle | 2–2 | Leyton Orient | 2.15/3.43/3.55 |
| 04/02/1716/17 | Leyton Orient | 1–2 | Carlisle | 3.62/3.68/2.06 |
| 29/09/1515/16 | Leyton Orient | 1–2 | Carlisle | 1.64/4.09/5.44 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Leyton Orient
Away Record: Carlisle
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Carlisle defeated Leyton Orient 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by C. Wilkinson 3′, J. Mellish 42′, D. Kemp 45′, L. Alessandra 54′ (pen.), G. Tanner 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Leyton Orient had 53% possession while Carlisle held 47%. Leyton Orient had 8 shots (4 on target) compared to 23 (7 on target) for Carlisle. Leyton Orient made 3 substitutions, Carlisle made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Leyton Orient and Carlisle — 5 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. Kayode
Penalty
assist: L. Alessandra
Match Statistics
Leyton Orient had 53% possession against Carlisle's 47%. Leyton Orient registered 8 shots (4 on target) while Carlisle managed 23 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 4–3. Fouls committed: 14–14.
Lineups
Leyton Orient lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under J. McAnuff, while Carlisle deployed a 4-2-3-1 under C. Beech.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Leyton Orient is 6.66, compared to 6.30 for Carlisle. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Leyton Orient's highest-rated starter is D. Happe (6.66), while Carlisle's best-rated player is A. Hayden (6.30).
Defensive Solidity
Leyton Orient deploy 4 defenders rated 6.66 on average, against Carlisle's 4-man backline averaging 6.30. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Leyton Orient field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Carlisle's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Leyton Orient start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 70% for Leyton Orient and 71% for Carlisle. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Leyton Orient's starters have collected 10 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Carlisle. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Leyton Orient's starting XI is 27.0 (youngest: D. Happe (27), oldest: D. Happe (27)), while Carlisle average 28.0 (youngest: A. Hayden (28), oldest: A. Hayden (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Leyton Orient's starters average 39 league appearances each, versus 2 for Carlisle. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: J. McAnuff
Substitutes
Coach: C. Beech
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Leyton Orient have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Carlisle show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Leyton Orient
Carlisle
API data: 16 Apr 2026