1 May 2021 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.2
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Newport County.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Max | 3.10 | 3.31 | 2.47 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 31.9% | 29.1% | 39.0% |
| Public market | 31.7% | 28.8% | 39.6% |
Newport County vs Cheltenham — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2525/26 | Newport County | 0–2 | Cheltenham | 2.19/3.38/3.09 |
| 22/02/2524/25 | Newport County | 0–3 | Cheltenham | 3.01/3.29/2.32 |
| 10/08/2424/25 | Cheltenham | 3–2 | Newport County | 1.78/3.64/4.40 |
| 01/05/2120/21 | Newport County | 1–0 | Cheltenham | 3.04/3.24/2.39 |
| 19/01/2120/21 | Cheltenham | 1–1 | Newport County | 2.33/3.14/3.29 |
| 01/01/2019/20 | Newport County | 1–1 | Cheltenham | 2.45/3.24/2.97 |
| 15/03/1918/19 | Newport County | 1–0 | Cheltenham | 2.05/3.37/3.96 |
| 24/11/1818/19 | Cheltenham | 2–1 | Newport County | 2.86/3.28/2.59 |
| 30/12/1717/18 | Cheltenham | 1–1 | Newport County | 2.18/3.47/3.43 |
| 12/09/1717/18 | Newport County | 1–0 | Cheltenham | 2.06/3.57/3.59 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Newport County
Away Record: Cheltenham
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Newport County defeated Cheltenham 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by J. Labadie 4′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Newport County had 42% possession while Cheltenham held 58%. Newport County had 11 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (2 on target) for Cheltenham. Newport County made 1 substitutions, Cheltenham made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Newport County and Cheltenham — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Hartigan
Match Statistics
Newport County had 42% possession against Cheltenham's 58%. Newport County registered 11 shots (6 on target) while Cheltenham managed 11 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 2–4. Fouls committed: 8–7.
Lineups
Newport County lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under M. Flynn, while Cheltenham deployed a 3-4-3 under M. Duff.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Newport County is 6.88, compared to — for Cheltenham. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Newport County's highest-rated starter is L. Shephard (6.88), while Cheltenham's best-rated player is —.
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Newport County have contributed 1 goals and 0 assists this season, led by L. Shephard (1G). Cheltenham's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Newport County deploy 3 defenders rated 6.88 on average, against Cheltenham's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Newport County field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Cheltenham's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Newport County start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Cheltenham averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 69% for Newport County and —% for Cheltenham. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Age & Experience
The average age of Newport County's starting XI is 31.0 (youngest: L. Shephard (31), oldest: L. Shephard (31)), while Cheltenham average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Newport County's starters average 13 league appearances each, versus 0 for Cheltenham. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: M. Flynn
Substitutes
Coach: M. Duff
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Newport County have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Cheltenham show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Newport County
Cheltenham
Newport County vs Cheltenham Head to Head Results
Newport County and Cheltenham have met 2 times — Newport County won 0, Cheltenham won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Cheltenham leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.50 per match (0 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–2 in 2025.
0
Newport County
0
Drawn
2
Cheltenham
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 16 Apr 2026