23 April 2022 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Harrogate Town dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
25%
Games with 3+ goals
38%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Harrogate Town.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.87 |
| Max | 2.40 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 40.4% | 27.6% | 32.0% |
| Public market | 39.7% | 27.2% | 33.2% |
| Δ | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% |
Harrogate Town vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2524/25 | Harrogate Town | 1–0 | Carlisle | 2.79/3.17/2.56 |
| 19/10/2424/25 | Carlisle | 1–1 | Harrogate Town | 1.89/3.60/3.97 |
| 04/02/2322/23 | Carlisle | 0–1 | Harrogate Town | 1.62/3.89/5.52 |
| 08/11/2222/23 | Harrogate Town | 3–3 | Carlisle | 3.17/3.37/2.28 |
| 23/04/2221/22 | Harrogate Town | 3–0 | Carlisle | 2.36/3.39/2.99 |
| 23/11/2121/22 | Carlisle | 0–2 | Harrogate Town | 2.48/3.28/2.85 |
| 24/04/2120/21 | Carlisle | 1–1 | Harrogate Town | 2.16/3.35/3.39 |
| 16/02/2120/21 | Harrogate Town | 1–0 | Carlisle | 3.30/3.28/2.24 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Harrogate Town
Away Record: Carlisle
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Harrogate Town defeated Carlisle 3:0. The match was played in League Two 2021. Goals were scored by J. Diamond 18′, R. McArdle 27′, J. Diamond 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Harrogate Town had 53% possession while Carlisle held 47%. Harrogate Town had 17 shots (7 on target) compared to 7 (4 on target) for Carlisle. Harrogate Town made 1 substitutions, Carlisle made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Harrogate Town and Carlisle — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: G. Thomson
assist: G. Thomson
assist: A. Pattison
Match Statistics
Harrogate Town had 53% possession against Carlisle's 47%. Harrogate Town registered 17 shots (7 on target) while Carlisle managed 7 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–11. Fouls committed: 7–9.
Lineups
Harrogate Town lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under S. Weaver, while Carlisle deployed a 5-3-2 under P. Simpson.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Harrogate Town is 6.61, compared to — for Carlisle. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Harrogate Town's highest-rated starter is W. Burrell (6.73), while Carlisle's best-rated player is —.
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Harrogate Town have contributed 6 goals and 2 assists this season, led by J. Muldoon (5G). Carlisle's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Harrogate Town deploy 4 defenders rated 6.64 on average, against Carlisle's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Harrogate Town field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Carlisle's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Harrogate Town start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.55, compared to 2 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 67% for Harrogate Town and —% for Carlisle. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Harrogate Town's starters have collected 8 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Carlisle. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Harrogate Town's starting XI is 34.7 (youngest: G. Thomson (33), oldest: J. Muldoon (36)), while Carlisle average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Harrogate Town's starters average 22 league appearances each, versus 0 for Carlisle. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: S. Weaver
Substitutes
Coach: P. Simpson
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Harrogate Town have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Carlisle show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Harrogate Town
Carlisle
Harrogate Town vs Carlisle Head to Head Results
Harrogate Town and Carlisle have met 1 times — Harrogate Town won 0, Carlisle won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Carlisle leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (0 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–2 in 2025.
0
Harrogate Town
0
Drawn
1
Carlisle
Recent Meetings (1)
API data: 16 Apr 2026