30 April 2022 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.7
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Max | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.65 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 34.8% | 29.0% | 36.1% |
| Public market | 33.9% | 29.6% | 36.5% |
Carlisle vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2322/23 | Carlisle | 0–0 | Stevenage | 2.50/3.14/3.03 |
| 20/08/2222/23 | Stevenage | 2–1 | Carlisle | 1.84/3.54/4.44 |
| 30/04/2221/22 | Carlisle | 2–1 | Stevenage | 2.75/3.20/2.62 |
| 11/12/2121/22 | Stevenage | 0–2 | Carlisle | 2.48/3.13/3.03 |
| 20/03/2120/21 | Stevenage | 3–1 | Carlisle | 3.44/3.21/2.19 |
| 12/12/2020/21 | Carlisle | 4–0 | Stevenage | 1.58/3.80/6.40 |
| 14/09/1919/20 | Stevenage | 2–3 | Carlisle | 2.58/3.45/2.76 |
| 13/04/1918/19 | Stevenage | 3–0 | Carlisle | 2.83/3.46/2.49 |
| 29/09/1818/19 | Carlisle | 0–1 | Stevenage | 2.41/3.39/3.01 |
| 26/09/1717/18 | Carlisle | 0–2 | Stevenage | 2.18/3.57/3.36 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Carlisle
Away Record: Stevenage
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Carlisle defeated Stevenage 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2021. Goals were scored by J. Riley 52′, L. Alessandra 63′, L. Norris 88′ (pen.). 1 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle had 62% possession while Stevenage held 38%. Carlisle had 16 shots (4 on target) compared to 12 (2 on target) for Stevenage. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Stevenage made 2.
Match Events
Key match events between Carlisle and Stevenage — 3 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. Armer
Penalty
Match Statistics
Carlisle had 62% possession against Stevenage's 38%. Carlisle registered 16 shots (4 on target) while Stevenage managed 12 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–2. Fouls committed: 10–5.
Lineups
Carlisle lined up in a 5-3-2 formation under P. Simpson, while Stevenage deployed a 4-3-3 under S. Evans.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 5.90, compared to 6.69 for Stevenage. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is J. Ellis (5.90), while Stevenage's best-rated player is L. James-Wildin (6.78).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Carlisle have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Stevenage's starters account for 15 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by J. Reid (14G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Carlisle deploy 5 defenders rated 5.90 on average, against Stevenage's 4-man backline averaging 6.78. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Carlisle field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Stevenage's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Carlisle start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Stevenage averaging 6.59. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 72% for Carlisle and 65% for Stevenage. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Carlisle's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 5 for Stevenage. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 22.0 (youngest: J. Ellis (22), oldest: J. Ellis (22)), while Stevenage average 29.5 (youngest: L. James-Wildin (28), oldest: J. Reid (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Carlisle's starters average 1 league appearances each, versus 37 for Stevenage. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: P. Simpson
Substitutes
Coach: S. Evans
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Stevenage show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Carlisle
Stevenage
API data: 16 Apr 2026