7 May 2022 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Rochdale dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
33%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Rochdale.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Max | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.93 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 49.8% | 25.8% | 24.3% |
| Public market | 48.5% | 26.3% | 25.2% |
| Δ | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Newport County vs Rochdale — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2322/23 | Rochdale | 1–1 | Newport County | 3.32/3.27/2.27 |
| 08/10/2222/23 | Newport County | 0–1 | Rochdale | 2.04/3.46/3.70 |
| 07/05/2221/22 | Newport County | 0–2 | Rochdale | 1.93/3.63/3.79 |
| 18/12/2121/22 | Rochdale | 3–0 | Newport County | 2.58/3.29/2.76 |
| 12/10/1313/14 | Rochdale | 3–0 | Newport County | 2.16/3.57/3.38 |
| 03/05/1413/14 | Newport County | 2–1 | Rochdale | 3.73/3.50/2.08 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Newport County
Away Record: Rochdale
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Rochdale defeated Newport County 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2021. Goals were scored by M. Done 16′, A. Odoh 90′. Newport County had 57% possession while Rochdale held 43%. Newport County had 14 shots (2 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Rochdale. Newport County made 3 substitutions, Rochdale made 2.
Match Events
Key match events between Newport County and Rochdale — 2 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: E. Brierley
assist: C. Grant
Match Statistics
Newport County had 57% possession against Rochdale's 43%. Newport County registered 14 shots (2 on target) while Rochdale managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 7–3. Fouls committed: 7–7.
Lineups
Newport County lined up in a 4-3-1-2 formation under J. Rowberry, while Rochdale deployed a 3-4-3 under R. Stockdale.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Newport County is 6.65, compared to — for Rochdale. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Newport County's highest-rated starter is J. Clarke (6.65), while Rochdale's best-rated player is —.
Defensive Solidity
Newport County deploy 4 defenders rated 6.65 on average, against Rochdale's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Newport County field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Rochdale's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Newport County start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Rochdale averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 77% for Newport County and —% for Rochdale. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Age & Experience
The average age of Newport County's starting XI is 36.0 (youngest: J. Clarke (36), oldest: J. Clarke (36)), while Rochdale average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Newport County's starters average 12 league appearances each, versus 0 for Rochdale. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: J. Rowberry
Substitutes
Coach: R. Stockdale
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Newport County have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Rochdale show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Newport County
Rochdale
API data: 16 Apr 2026