25 April 2023 at 18:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.1
Average goals per game
22%
Games with 3+ goals
33%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| Max | 3.63 | 3.35 | 2.17 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 26.6% | 28.8% | 44.5% |
| Public market | 26.4% | 29.3% | 44.3% |
Swindon Town vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2322/23 | Swindon Town | 0–1 | Stevenage | 3.58/3.27/2.14 |
| 08/10/2222/23 | Stevenage | 2–0 | Swindon Town | 1.83/3.45/4.67 |
| 29/12/2121/22 | Swindon Town | 0–0 | Stevenage | 1.85/3.48/4.28 |
| 04/09/2121/22 | Stevenage | 1–1 | Swindon Town | 2.51/3.02/3.01 |
| 22/10/1919/20 | Swindon Town | 1–0 | Stevenage | 1.71/3.69/5.33 |
| 12/03/1918/19 | Stevenage | 2–0 | Swindon Town | 3.07/3.26/2.45 |
| 27/11/1818/19 | Swindon Town | 3–2 | Stevenage | 2.23/3.36/3.42 |
| 30/01/1817/18 | Stevenage | 0–1 | Swindon Town | 2.94/3.31/2.53 |
| 16/09/1717/18 | Swindon Town | 3–2 | Stevenage | 2.43/3.49/2.94 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Swindon Town
Away Record: Stevenage
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Stevenage defeated Swindon Town 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by J. Reid 25′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Swindon Town had 57% possession while Stevenage held 43%. Swindon Town had 9 shots (3 on target) compared to 14 (1 on target) for Stevenage. Swindon Town made 4 substitutions, Stevenage made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Swindon Town and Stevenage — 1 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Swindon Town had 57% possession against Stevenage's 43%. Swindon Town registered 9 shots (3 on target) while Stevenage managed 14 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 6–4. Fouls committed: 7–13.
Lineups
Swindon Town lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under J. Morris, while Stevenage deployed a 5-3-2 under S. Evans.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Swindon Town is —, compared to 6.79 for Stevenage. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Swindon Town's highest-rated starter is —, while Stevenage's best-rated player is C. Piergianni (7.06).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Swindon Town have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Stevenage's starters account for 20 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by J. Reid (14G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Swindon Town deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Stevenage's 5-man backline averaging 6.91. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Swindon Town field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Stevenage's 3 rated 6.73. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Swindon Town start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Stevenage averaging 6.60. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages —% for Swindon Town and 64% for Stevenage. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Swindon Town's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 25 for Stevenage. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Swindon Town's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Stevenage average 31.5 (youngest: D. Sweeney (31), oldest: C. Piergianni (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Swindon Town's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 36 for Stevenage. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: J. Morris
Substitutes
Coach: S. Evans
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Stevenage show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Swindon Town
Stevenage
API data: 16 Apr 2026