18 April 2023 at 18:45

Referee: T. Parsons

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle0wins
1draws2 meetings
Stockport County1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Stockport County.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.6%Draw 32.8%Away 39.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.002.50
Max3.213.102.55
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.2%31.9%38.0%
Public market31.6%30.5%37.9%
Δ1.4%1.3%

Carlisle vs Stockport County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Stockport County (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:01Stockport County
12Shots13
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/04/23Carlisle2–2Stockport County3.07/3.05/2.52
25/10/22Stockport County2–0Carlisle1.94/3.39/4.03

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.548
Goals scored653

Away Record: Stockport County

W 114D 75L 87
Over 2.550
Goals scored403

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Carlisle and Stockport County drew 2:2. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by M. Hippolyte 31′, J. Mellish 54′, O. Moxon 83′, C. Lemonheigh-Evans 86′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle had 44% possession while Stockport County held 56%. Carlisle had 12 shots (6 on target) compared to 13 (3 on target) for Stockport County. Carlisle made 2 substitutions, Stockport County made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Carlisle and Stockport County — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Carlisle
Stockport County
Kick Off
Corey Whelan27′
31′
M. Hippolyte

assist: C. Camps

38′Akil Wright
Half Time
J. Mellish

assist: O. Moxon

54′
69′
J. StrettonI. Olaofe
J. GibsonO. Patrick
72′
K. DennisR. Edmondson
72′
O. Moxon

assist: R. Edmondson

83′
84′
R. CroasdaleC. Lemonheigh-Evans
84′
A. WrightR. Johnson
86′
C. Lemonheigh-Evans

assist: C. Hussey

Full Time

Match Statistics

Carlisle had 44% possession against Stockport County's 56%. Carlisle registered 12 shots (6 on target) while Stockport County managed 13 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 12–6. Fouls committed: 11–11.

6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
12Total Shots13
3Blocked Shots5
9Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox6
11Fouls11
12Corner Kicks6
0Offsides0
44%Ball Possession56%
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
296Total passes389
155Passes accurate238
52%Passes %61%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Carlisle lined up in a 3-5-2 formation under P. Simpson, while Stockport County deployed a 3-5-2 under D. Challinor.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is —, compared to 6.62 for Stockport County. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is —, while Stockport County's best-rated player is B. Hinchliffe (6.70).

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Stockport County's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Stockport County's 5 rated 6.53. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Stockport County averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Carlisle and 65% for Stockport County. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Stockport County average 33.5 (youngest: C. Camps (30), oldest: B. Hinchliffe (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 18 for Stockport County. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Carlisle3-5-23-5-2Stockport County
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Holý17Whelan6Hunting.22Mellish2Senior8Guy4Moxon7Gibson3Armer14Dennis36Gordon1Hinchli.4Wright6Horsfall23Hussey3Knoyle14Collar18Croasda.8Camps21Hippoly.16Stretton9Madden

Substitutes

Coach: P. Simpson

Substitutes

Coach: D. Challinor

CarlislePosition StrengthStockport County
Avg Rating
6.62
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.70
0G 0A0G 0A
Midfielder (5 v 5)6.53
0G 0A0G 0A
Carlisle3-5-2
1GoalkeeperT. Holý
17DefenderC. Whelan
6DefenderP. Huntington
22DefenderJ. Mellish
2MidfielderJ. Senior
8MidfielderC. Guy
4MidfielderO. Moxon
7MidfielderJ. Gibson
3MidfielderJ. Armer
14ForwardK. Dennis
36ForwardJ. Gordon
Stockport County3-5-2
1GoalkeeperB. Hinchliffe6.7
4DefenderA. Wright
6DefenderF. Horsfall
23DefenderC. Hussey
3MidfielderK. Knoyle
14MidfielderW. Collar
18MidfielderR. Croasdale
8MidfielderC. Camps6.5
21MidfielderM. Hippolyte
16ForwardJ. Stretton
9ForwardP. Madden

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Stockport County show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Carlisle

WWDDWW

Stockport County

DWLDWW
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 16 Apr 2026