22 April 2023 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
25%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Doncaster.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
| Max | 3.48 | 3.30 | 2.28 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 27.9% | 29.6% | 42.5% |
| Public market | 28.8% | 28.8% | 42.3% |
Doncaster vs Newport County — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2524/25 | Doncaster | 3–0 | Newport County | 1.40/4.72/7.06 |
| 17/08/2424/25 | Newport County | 3–1 | Doncaster | 4.00/3.85/1.82 |
| 13/01/2423/24 | Doncaster | 0–1 | Newport County | 2.20/3.68/3.02 |
| 12/08/2323/24 | Newport County | 4–0 | Doncaster | 2.17/3.32/3.28 |
| 22/04/2322/23 | Doncaster | 1–3 | Newport County | 3.39/3.22/2.24 |
| 10/12/2222/23 | Newport County | 0–1 | Doncaster | 2.08/3.32/3.69 |
| 17/09/1616/17 | Doncaster | 2–0 | Newport County | 1.54/4.11/6.89 |
| 10/02/1716/17 | Newport County | 0–0 | Doncaster | 4.87/3.57/1.81 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Doncaster
Away Record: Newport County
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Newport County defeated Doncaster 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by M. Demetriou 12′ (o.g.), P. Farquharson 64′, A. Wildig 71′, C. Norman 79′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Doncaster had 55% possession while Newport County held 45%. Doncaster had 6 shots (2 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Newport County. Doncaster made 4 substitutions, Newport County made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Doncaster and Newport County — 4 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
assist: M. Demetriou
assist: O. Bogle
assist: M. Demetriou
Match Statistics
Doncaster had 55% possession against Newport County's 45%. Doncaster registered 6 shots (2 on target) while Newport County managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 2–4. Fouls committed: 8–12.
Lineups
Doncaster lined up in a 3-4-3 formation under D. Schofield, while Newport County deployed a 3-5-2 under G. Coughlan.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Doncaster is 6.79, compared to 6.68 for Newport County. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Doncaster's highest-rated starter is L. Molyneux (6.84), while Newport County's best-rated player is M. Baker (6.68).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Doncaster have contributed 9 goals and 7 assists this season, led by L. Molyneux (8G). Newport County's starters account for 1 goals and 2 assists, spearheaded by M. Baker (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Doncaster deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Newport County's 2-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Doncaster field 4 midfielders averaging 6.79, versus Newport County's 6 rated 6.68. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Doncaster start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Newport County averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 74% for Doncaster and 78% for Newport County. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Doncaster's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 5 for Newport County. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Doncaster's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: L. Molyneux (27), oldest: B. Close (29)), while Newport County average 22.0 (youngest: M. Baker (22), oldest: M. Baker (22)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Doncaster's starters average 31 league appearances each, versus 36 for Newport County. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: D. Schofield
Substitutes
Coach: G. Coughlan
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Doncaster have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Newport County show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Doncaster
Newport County
API data: 16 Apr 2026