29 April 2023 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
78%
Games with 3+ goals
89%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.09 |
| Max | 2.38 | 3.37 | 3.25 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 40.4% | 28.5% | 31.1% |
| Public market | 41.4% | 29.3% | 29.3% |
| Δ | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% |
Carlisle vs Salford City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2524/25 | Carlisle | 2–2 | Salford City | 4.78/4.14/1.60 |
| 09/11/2424/25 | Salford City | 0–1 | Carlisle | 1.95/3.55/3.74 |
| 29/04/2322/23 | Carlisle | 2–3 | Salford City | 2.34/3.24/3.15 |
| 19/11/2222/23 | Salford City | 1–4 | Carlisle | 2.37/3.29/3.05 |
| 01/02/2221/22 | Salford City | 2–1 | Carlisle | 1.97/3.34/4.13 |
| 04/09/2121/22 | Carlisle | 2–1 | Salford City | 2.66/3.10/2.77 |
| 20/02/2120/21 | Salford City | 1–1 | Carlisle | 2.47/3.23/2.95 |
| 02/12/2020/21 | Carlisle | 2–1 | Salford City | 2.41/3.31/2.95 |
| 24/08/1919/20 | Carlisle | 2–2 | Salford City | 2.57/3.36/2.74 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Carlisle
Away Record: Salford City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Salford City defeated Carlisle 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by C. Hendry 23′, L. Bolton 28′, J. Garner 77′, K. Dennis 85′ (pen.), L. Bolton 88′. 7 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Carlisle had 54% possession while Salford City held 46%. Carlisle had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 13 (4 on target) for Salford City. Carlisle made 5 substitutions, Salford City made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Carlisle and Salford City — 5 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.
assist: L. Bolton
assist: C. Hendry
assist: O. Moxon
Penalty
assist: L. Shephard
Match Statistics
Carlisle had 54% possession against Salford City's 46%. Carlisle registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Salford City managed 13 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 11–11.
Lineups
Carlisle lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under P. Simpson, while Salford City deployed a 4-2-3-1 under N. Wood.
Defensive Solidity
Carlisle deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Salford City's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Carlisle field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Salford City's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Carlisle start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Salford City averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: P. Simpson
Substitutes
Coach: N. Wood
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Salford City show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Carlisle
Salford City
API data: 16 Apr 2026