29 April 2023 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Crewe.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| Max | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.51 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 31.8% | 29.6% | 38.6% |
| Public market | 33.1% | 28.0% | 38.9% |
| Δ | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Crewe vs Swindon Town — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2625/26 | Swindon Town | 1–2 | Crewe | 1.96/3.50/3.40 |
| 30/08/2525/26 | Crewe | 0–3 | Swindon Town | 1.98/3.51/3.59 |
| 11/01/2524/25 | Swindon Town | 0–0 | Crewe | 2.90/3.22/2.43 |
| 24/08/2424/25 | Crewe | 0–0 | Swindon Town | 2.35/3.40/2.97 |
| 13/01/2423/24 | Crewe | 2–1 | Swindon Town | 1.90/3.93/3.58 |
| 12/08/2323/24 | Swindon Town | 2–2 | Crewe | 1.78/3.58/4.40 |
| 29/04/2322/23 | Crewe | 2–1 | Swindon Town | 2.94/3.29/2.47 |
| 19/11/2222/23 | Swindon Town | 0–1 | Crewe | 1.77/3.80/4.51 |
| 11/01/2019/20 | Swindon Town | 3–1 | Crewe | 2.47/3.58/2.78 |
| 19/10/1919/20 | Crewe | 3–1 | Swindon Town | 2.38/3.52/3.00 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Crewe
Away Record: Swindon Town
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Crewe defeated Swindon Town 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by R. Hepburn-Murphy 44′, C. Thomas 82′, J. Tabiner 86′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Crewe had 47% possession while Swindon Town held 53%. Crewe had 15 shots (8 on target) compared to 12 (6 on target) for Swindon Town. Crewe made 5 substitutions, Swindon Town made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Crewe and Swindon Town — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: S. Khan
assist: C. Ainley
Match Statistics
Crewe had 47% possession against Swindon Town's 53%. Crewe registered 15 shots (8 on target) while Swindon Town managed 12 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 3–2. Fouls committed: 12–13.
Lineups
Crewe lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under L. Bell, while Swindon Town deployed a 4-3-3 under J. Morris.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Crewe is 6.68, compared to — for Swindon Town. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Crewe's highest-rated starter is C. Thomas (6.80), while Swindon Town's best-rated player is —.
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Crewe have contributed 3 goals and 1 assists this season, led by C. Thomas (3G). Swindon Town's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Crewe deploy 4 defenders rated 6.64 on average, against Swindon Town's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Crewe field 3 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Swindon Town's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Crewe start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Swindon Town averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 63% for Crewe and —% for Swindon Town. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Crewe's starters have collected 3 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Swindon Town. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Crewe's starting XI is 24.3 (youngest: T. Booth (21), oldest: C. Thomas (32)), while Swindon Town average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Crewe's starters average 21 league appearances each, versus 0 for Swindon Town. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: L. Bell
Substitutes
Coach: J. Morris
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Crewe have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Swindon Town show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Crewe
Swindon Town
Crewe vs Swindon Town Head to Head Results
Crewe and Swindon Town have met 2 times — Crewe won 1, Swindon Town won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (2 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2026.
1
Crewe
0
Drawn
1
Swindon Town
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 16 Apr 2026