29 April 2023 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Stevenage dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.1
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.65 | 3.60 | 5.25 |
| Max | 1.68 | 3.84 | 5.75 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 57.3% | 25.1% | 17.6% |
| Public market | 57.9% | 25.5% | 16.6% |
| Δ | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% |
Stevenage vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2322/23 | Stevenage | 2–0 | Grimsby | 1.67/3.73/5.49 |
| 19/11/2222/23 | Grimsby | 1–1 | Stevenage | 3.10/3.19/2.41 |
| 30/01/2120/21 | Grimsby | 1–2 | Stevenage | 2.66/3.29/2.65 |
| 31/10/2020/21 | Stevenage | 0–0 | Grimsby | 2.39/3.18/3.09 |
| 28/01/2019/20 | Grimsby | 3–1 | Stevenage | 2.14/3.07/4.04 |
| 12/10/1919/20 | Stevenage | 2–1 | Grimsby | 2.77/3.33/2.65 |
| 06/04/1918/19 | Grimsby | 0–2 | Stevenage | 2.37/3.38/3.06 |
| 22/09/1818/19 | Stevenage | 1–0 | Grimsby | 1.90/3.66/4.12 |
| 30/03/1817/18 | Grimsby | 0–0 | Stevenage | 2.37/3.24/3.16 |
| 19/08/1717/18 | Stevenage | 3–1 | Grimsby | 2.26/3.45/3.28 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Stevenage
Away Record: Grimsby
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Stevenage defeated Grimsby 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by J. Reid 57′, L. James-Wildin 67′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Stevenage had 48% possession while Grimsby held 52%. Stevenage had 15 shots (7 on target) compared to 6 (1 on target) for Grimsby. Stevenage made 4 substitutions, Grimsby made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Stevenage and Grimsby — 2 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. Roberts
assist: J. Reid
Match Statistics
Stevenage had 48% possession against Grimsby's 52%. Stevenage registered 15 shots (7 on target) while Grimsby managed 6 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 5–7. Fouls committed: 7–17.
Lineups
Stevenage lined up in a 5-3-2 formation under S. Evans, while Grimsby deployed a 5-3-2 under P. Hurst.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Stevenage is 6.80, compared to 7.02 for Grimsby. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Stevenage's highest-rated starter is C. Piergianni (7.11), while Grimsby's best-rated player is K. Green (7.02).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Stevenage have contributed 20 goals and 5 assists this season, led by J. Reid (14G). Grimsby's starters account for 13 goals and 4 assists, spearheaded by K. Green (13G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Stevenage deploy 5 defenders rated 6.94 on average, against Grimsby's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Stevenage field 3 midfielders averaging 6.74, versus Grimsby's 3 rated 7.02. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Stevenage start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.59, compared to 2 for Grimsby averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 64% for Stevenage and 59% for Grimsby. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Stevenage's starters have collected 25 yellow cards this season, compared to 4 for Grimsby. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Stevenage's starting XI is 31.5 (youngest: D. Sweeney (31), oldest: C. Piergianni (33)), while Grimsby average 28.0 (youngest: K. Green (28), oldest: K. Green (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Stevenage's starters average 36 league appearances each, versus 40 for Grimsby. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: S. Evans
Substitutes
Coach: P. Hurst
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Stevenage have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Grimsby show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Stevenage
Grimsby
API data: 16 Apr 2026