8 May 2023 at 11:30

01
Full Time
Referee: A. Kitchen

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Stevenage dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Barrow0wins
2draws6 meetings
Stevenage4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.2%Draw 30.9%Away 43.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.202.20
Max3.403.302.36
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Stevenage · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.3%29.6%40.1%
Public market28.0%28.8%43.2%
Δ2.3%0.8%3.1%

Barrow vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stevenage
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BarrowHalf-time:01Stevenage
10Shots10
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/05/23Barrow0–1Stevenage3.21/3.23/2.29
02/12/22Stevenage5–0Barrow1.91/3.37/4.26
12/02/22Barrow0–0Stevenage2.37/3.19/3.14
07/08/21Stevenage1–0Barrow2.18/3.18/3.44
27/03/21Stevenage2–1Barrow2.41/3.05/3.19
12/09/20Barrow1–1Stevenage2.19/3.35/3.32

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Barrow

W 82D 71L 119
Over 2.542
Goals scored298

Away Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Stevenage defeated Barrow 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by J. Reeves 25′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Barrow had 49% possession while Stevenage held 51%. Barrow had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 10 (2 on target) for Stevenage. Barrow made 4 substitutions, Stevenage made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Barrow and Stevenage — 1 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Barrow
Stevenage
Kick Off
45+1′Jake Forster-Caskey
Half Time
48′
D. CampbellA. Gilbey
58′
J. TaylorJ. Reid
78′
D. RoseM. Evans
79′
L. James-WildinK. Smith
79′
D. HorganJ. Roberts
S. McClellandJ. Taylor
81′
E. NewbyJ. Young
81′
J. KayP. Żuk
82′
G. GarnerB. Smales-Braithwaite
82′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Barrow had 49% possession against Stevenage's 51%. Barrow registered 10 shots (4 on target) while Stevenage managed 10 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 2–2. Fouls committed: 8–14.

4Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal7
10Total Shots10
2Blocked Shots1
6Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox1
8Fouls14
2Corner Kicks2
2Offsides3
49%Ball Possession51%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
361Total passes385
239Passes accurate254
66%Passes %66%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Barrow lined up in a 5-3-2 formation under P. Wild, while Stevenage deployed a 4-2-3-1 under S. Evans.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Barrow is 6.66, compared to 6.92 for Stevenage. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Barrow's highest-rated starter is B. Whitfield (6.84), while Stevenage's best-rated player is C. Piergianni (7.06).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Barrow have contributed 6 goals and 7 assists this season, led by B. Whitfield (3G). Stevenage's starters account for 4 goals and 3 assists, spearheaded by C. Piergianni (3G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Barrow deploy 5 defenders rated 6.69 on average, against Stevenage's 4-man backline averaging 6.92. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Barrow field 3 midfielders averaging 6.60, versus Stevenage's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Barrow start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Stevenage averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 71% for Barrow and 62% for Stevenage. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Barrow's starters have collected 10 yellow cards this season, compared to 11 for Stevenage. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Barrow's starting XI is 31.0 (youngest: B. Whitfield (29), oldest: N. Canavan (34)), while Stevenage average 30.5 (youngest: L. James-Wildin (28), oldest: C. Piergianni (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Barrow's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 36 for Stevenage. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Barrow5-3-24-2-3-1Stevenage
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Farman21Warren5McClell.25Ray6Canavan34Whitfie.13White15Gotts7Newby20Garner11Kay25Przybek2James-W.22Tomkins.5Piergia.3Clark4Reeves10Campbell16Horgan8Taylor23Forster.32Rose

Substitutes

Coach: P. Wild

Substitutes

Coach: S. Evans

BarrowPosition StrengthStevenage
6.66
Avg Rating
6.92
6.69Defender (5 v 4)6.92
5G 5A4G 3A
6.60Midfielder (3 v 5)
1G 2A0G 0A
Barrow5-3-2
1GoalkeeperP. Farman
21DefenderT. Warren
5DefenderS. McClelland
25DefenderG. Ray
6DefenderN. Canavan6.52G2A
34DefenderB. Whitfield6.83G3A
13MidfielderT. White
15MidfielderR. Gotts
7MidfielderE. Newby6.61G2A
20ForwardG. Garner
11ForwardJ. Kay
Stevenage4-2-3-1
25GoalkeeperA. Przybek
2DefenderL. James-Wildin6.81G2A
22DefenderJ. Tomkinson
5DefenderC. Piergianni7.13G1A
3DefenderM. Clark
4MidfielderJ. Reeves
10MidfielderD. Campbell
16MidfielderD. Horgan
8MidfielderJ. Taylor
23MidfielderJ. Forster-Caskey
32ForwardD. Rose

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Barrow have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Stevenage show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Barrow

LWLLDW

Stevenage

DLWWDW
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 16 Apr 2026