8 May 2023 at 11:30

Referee: B. Speedie

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Colchester1wins
6draws10 meetings
Mansfield Town3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

90%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (26%) — the odds may underestimate Mansfield Town.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 27.0%Draw 28.5%Away 50.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.403.401.95
Max4.003.642.10
Over 2.5: 54.9%Under 2.5: 49.5%
Market favourite:Mansfield Town · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market25.5%26.0%48.5%
Public market23.8%27.2%48.9%
Δ1.7%1.3%0.4%

Colchester vs Mansfield Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Mansfield Town
Result vs. Market: Mansfield Town (50%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ColchesterHalf-time:01Mansfield Town
17Shots16
4Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
23/03/24Mansfield Town1–1Colchester1.44/4.92/6.63
16/09/23Colchester1–1Mansfield Town3.56/3.61/1.95
08/05/23Colchester0–2Mansfield Town3.70/3.51/2.00
03/12/22Mansfield Town2–1Colchester1.93/3.62/3.97
08/02/22Mansfield Town2–1Colchester1.75/3.49/5.22
17/08/21Colchester1–1Mansfield Town3.10/3.17/2.39
14/02/21Colchester2–2Mansfield Town3.76/3.52/1.97
20/11/20Mansfield Town1–1Colchester2.39/3.39/2.93
02/11/19Mansfield Town2–3Colchester2.21/3.34/3.45
18/08/18Mansfield Town1–1Colchester2.18/3.35/3.51

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Colchester

W 150D 136L 161
Over 2.543
Goals scored540

Away Record: Mansfield Town

W 242D 204L 234
Over 2.547
Goals scored893

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Mansfield Town defeated Colchester 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by R. Harbottle 45′, J. Gale 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Colchester had 43% possession while Mansfield Town held 57%. Colchester had 17 shots (4 on target) compared to 16 (5 on target) for Mansfield Town. Colchester made 6 substitutions, Mansfield Town made 6.

Match Events

Key match events between Colchester and Mansfield Town — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Colchester
Mansfield Town
Kick Off
Tom Dallison45+1′
45+2′
R. Harbottle

assist: D. Keillor-Dunn

Half Time
C. HallA. Kazeem
65′
J. AkindeT. Hopper
65′
A. NewbyM. Jay
66′
66′
D. Keillor-DunnG. Maris
66′
H. BoatengR. Oates
M. MirandaC. Skuse
74′
81′James Perch
A. ReadF. Kelleher
82′
J. FevrierF. Sears
83′
83′
S. QuinnO. Clarke
84′
J. PerchJ. Bowery
90+2′
L. ReedA. Hartigan
90+2′
W. SwanJ. Gale
90+7′
J. Gale

assist: L. Akins

Full Time

Match Statistics

Colchester had 43% possession against Mansfield Town's 57%. Colchester registered 17 shots (4 on target) while Mansfield Town managed 16 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 3–8. Fouls committed: 5–17.

4Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal8
17Total Shots16
5Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox13
7Shots outsidebox3
5Fouls17
3Corner Kicks8
1Offsides1
43%Ball Possession57%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
316Total passes392
209Passes accurate295
66%Passes %75%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Colchester lined up in a 4-4-1-1 formation under B. Garner, while Mansfield Town deployed a 4-3-3 under N. Clough.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Colchester is 6.90, compared to 7.03 for Mansfield Town. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Colchester's highest-rated starter is A. Read (7.21), while Mansfield Town's best-rated player is L. Reed (7.11).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Colchester have contributed 6 goals and 3 assists this season, led by A. Read (6G). Mansfield Town's starters account for 8 goals and 3 assists, spearheaded by L. Akins (6G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Colchester deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Mansfield Town's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Colchester field 4 midfielders averaging 7.21, versus Mansfield Town's 3 rated 7.11. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Colchester start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Mansfield Town averaging 6.94. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 69% for Colchester and 75% for Mansfield Town. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Colchester's starters have collected 10 yellow cards this season, compared to 4 for Mansfield Town. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Colchester's starting XI is 24.5 (youngest: T. Smith (23), oldest: A. Read (26)), while Mansfield Town average 32.0 (youngest: L. Reed (28), oldest: L. Akins (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Colchester's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 27 for Mansfield Town. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Colchester4-4-1-14-3-3Mansfield Town
GKDEFMIDFWD
12Smith2Greenid.6Dalliso.4Chambers29Hall42Fevrier33Miranda16Read19Newby14Chilvers24Akinde1Pym12Johnson6Harbott.24Kilgour14Perch44Boateng20Reed16Quinn26Swan7Akins40Keillor.

Substitutes

Coach: B. Garner

Substitutes

Coach: N. Clough

ColchesterPosition StrengthMansfield Town
6.90
Avg Rating
7.03
6.60Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
7.21Midfielder (4 v 3)7.11
6G 3A2G 2A
Forward (2 v 3)6.94
0G 0A6G 1A
Colchester4-4-1-1
12GoalkeeperT. Smith6.6
2DefenderW. Greenidge
6DefenderT. Dallison-Lisbon
4DefenderL. Chambers
29DefenderC. Hall
42MidfielderJ. Fevrier
33MidfielderM. Miranda
16MidfielderA. Read7.26G3A
19MidfielderA. Newby
14ForwardN. Chilvers
24ForwardJ. Akinde
Mansfield Town4-3-3
1GoalkeeperC. Pym
12DefenderC. Johnson
6DefenderR. Harbottle
24DefenderA. Kilgour
14DefenderJ. Perch
44MidfielderH. Boateng
20MidfielderL. Reed7.12G2A
16MidfielderS. Quinn
26ForwardW. Swan
7ForwardL. Akins6.96G1A
40ForwardD. Keillor-Dunn

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Colchester have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Mansfield Town show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Colchester

LWWWLD

Mansfield Town

DDLDWW
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 16 Apr 2026