8 May 2023 at 11:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
0.7
Average goals per game
0%
Games with 3+ goals
0%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate AFC Wimbledon.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.83 | 3.40 | 3.97 |
| Max | 1.88 | 3.64 | 4.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 50.3% | 26.0% | 23.8% |
| Public market | 51.8% | 27.1% | 21.1% |
| Δ | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% |
Grimsby vs AFC Wimbledon — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2524/25 | Grimsby | 0–1 | AFC Wimbledon | 2.67/3.17/2.63 |
| 09/11/2424/25 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–1 | Grimsby | 1.49/4.28/6.26 |
| 05/03/2423/24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–0 | Grimsby | 1.86/3.60/4.18 |
| 05/08/2323/24 | Grimsby | 0–0 | AFC Wimbledon | 2.00/3.35/3.69 |
| 08/05/2322/23 | Grimsby | 1–0 | AFC Wimbledon | 1.85/3.51/4.22 |
| 03/12/2222/23 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | Grimsby | 3.10/3.21/2.40 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Grimsby
Away Record: AFC Wimbledon
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Grimsby defeated AFC Wimbledon 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by I. Ogundere 7′ (o.g.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Grimsby had 52% possession while AFC Wimbledon held 48%. Grimsby had 7 shots (2 on target) compared to 5 (2 on target) for AFC Wimbledon. Grimsby made 5 substitutions, AFC Wimbledon made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Grimsby and AFC Wimbledon — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
Match Statistics
Grimsby had 52% possession against AFC Wimbledon's 48%. Grimsby registered 7 shots (2 on target) while AFC Wimbledon managed 5 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 4–7. Fouls committed: 13–13.
Lineups
Grimsby lined up in a 5-3-2 formation under P. Hurst, while AFC Wimbledon deployed a 4-1-4-1 under J. Jackson.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Grimsby is 6.82, compared to 6.57 for AFC Wimbledon. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Grimsby's highest-rated starter is E. Khouri (6.82), while AFC Wimbledon's best-rated player is I. Ogundere (6.57).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Grimsby have contributed 4 goals and 2 assists this season, led by E. Khouri (4G). AFC Wimbledon's starters account for 0 goals and 1 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Grimsby deploy 5 defenders rated — on average, against AFC Wimbledon's 4-man backline averaging 6.57. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Grimsby field 3 midfielders averaging 6.82, versus AFC Wimbledon's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Grimsby start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for AFC Wimbledon averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 73% for Grimsby and 72% for AFC Wimbledon. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Grimsby's starters have collected 4 yellow cards this season, compared to 4 for AFC Wimbledon. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Grimsby's starting XI is 22.0 (youngest: E. Khouri (22), oldest: E. Khouri (22)), while AFC Wimbledon average 23.0 (youngest: I. Ogundere (23), oldest: I. Ogundere (23)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Grimsby's starters average 32 league appearances each, versus 44 for AFC Wimbledon. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: P. Hurst
Substitutes
Coach: J. Jackson
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Grimsby have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. AFC Wimbledon show 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 outings.
Grimsby
AFC Wimbledon
API data: 16 Apr 2026