3 April 2026 at 14:00

Referee: M. Woods

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Milton Keynes Dons1wins
2draws6 meetings
Barrow3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (67%) — the odds may underestimate Barrow.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 73.0%Draw 22.2%Away 13.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.374.507.50
Max1.374.507.50
Over 2.5: 58.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (73%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:00Barrow
16Shots5
5Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
03/04/26Milton Keynes Dons0–0Barrow1.37/4.50/7.50
09/08/25Barrow0–2Milton Keynes Dons2.53/3.31/2.70
05/04/25Milton Keynes Dons0–3Barrow2.48/3.22/2.81
11/02/25Barrow2–1Milton Keynes Dons2.04/3.32/3.75
03/02/24Barrow1–0Milton Keynes Dons2.35/3.37/3.00
14/10/23Milton Keynes Dons2–2Barrow2.09/3.46/3.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 136D 61L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored443

Away Record: Barrow

W 82D 71L 119
Over 2.542
Goals scored298

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons and Barrow drew 0:0. The match was played in League Two 2025. 5 yellow cards were shown. Milton Keynes Dons had 69% possession while Barrow held 31%. Milton Keynes Dons had 15 shots (6 on target) compared to 5 (0 on target) for Barrow. Milton Keynes Dons made 5 substitutions, Barrow made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Milton Keynes Dons and Barrow — 0 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Milton Keynes Dons
Barrow
Kick Off
7′
J. EaringS. Smith
Half Time
J. MellishA. Nemane
46′
60′
C. MahoneyC. McCann
L. KellyD. Crowley
78′
M. EkpitetaJ. Tomlinson
78′
C. PatersonN. Mendez-Laing
78′
81′
D. RoseT. Walker
81′
J. GordonJ. Malcolm
B. WilesR. Hepburn-Murphy
90+4′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Milton Keynes Dons had 69% possession against Barrow's 31%. Milton Keynes Dons registered 15 shots (6 on target) while Barrow managed 5 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 6–1. Fouls committed: 16–13.

6Shots on Goal0
3Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots5
6Blocked Shots3
11Shots insidebox1
4Shots outsidebox4
16Fouls13
6Corner Kicks1
8Offsides1
69%Ball Possession31%
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
485Total passes227
391Passes accurate121
81%Passes %53%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Milton Keynes Dons lined up in a 3-1-4-2 formation under Paul Warne, while Barrow deployed a 4-4-2 under Sam Foley.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Milton Keynes Dons is 6.96, compared to 6.67 for Barrow. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Milton Keynes Dons's highest-rated starter is C. Nelson (7.21), while Barrow's best-rated player is W. Stanway (6.80).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Milton Keynes Dons have contributed 50 goals and 34 assists this season, led by C. Paterson (14G). Barrow's starters account for 23 goals and 10 assists, spearheaded by J. Gordon (9G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Milton Keynes Dons deploy 3 defenders rated 7.20 on average, against Barrow's 4-man backline averaging 6.66. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Milton Keynes Dons field 5 midfielders averaging 6.89, versus Barrow's 4 rated 6.69. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Milton Keynes Dons start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.86, compared to 2 for Barrow averaging 6.62. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 63% for Milton Keynes Dons and 66% for Barrow. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Milton Keynes Dons's starters have collected 43 yellow cards this season, compared to 40 for Barrow. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Milton Keynes Dons's starting XI is 29.5 (youngest: J. Sanders (26), oldest: C. MacGillivray (32)), while Barrow average 28.1 (youngest: L. Shipley (22), oldest: N. Canavan (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Milton Keynes Dons's starters average 33 league appearances each, versus 29 for Barrow. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Milton Keynes Dons3-1-4-24-4-2Barrow
GKDEFMIDFWD
1MacGill.21Ekpiteta25Nelson32Sanders6Kelly2Jones26Wiles8Gilbey22Mellish13Paterson10Collins1Stanway7Jackson2MacDona.6Canavan3Shipley23Mahoney4Williams45Harper21Earing33Rose25Gordon

Substitutes

Coach: Paul Warne

Substitutes

Coach: Sam Foley

Milton Keynes DonsPosition StrengthBarrow
6.96
Avg Rating
6.67
6.78Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.80
0G 0A0G 0A
7.20Defender (3 v 4)6.66
10G 4A6G 3A
6.89Midfielder (5 v 4)6.69
20G 20A4G 6A
6.86Forward (2 v 2)6.62
20G 10A13G 1A
Milton Keynes Dons3-1-4-2
1GoalkeeperC. MacGillivray6.8
21DefenderM. Ekpiteta7.26G3A
25DefenderC. Nelson7.22G1A
32DefenderJ. Sanders7.22G
6MidfielderL. Kelly7.01G8A
2MidfielderG. Jones6.81G2A
26MidfielderB. Wiles6.84G3A
8MidfielderA. Gilbey7.011G4A
22MidfielderJ. Mellish6.73G3A
13ForwardC. Paterson7.014G7A
10ForwardA. Collins6.76G3A
Barrow4-4-2
1GoalkeeperW. Stanway6.8
7DefenderB. Jackson6.81G
2DefenderA. MacDonald6.61A
6DefenderN. Canavan6.52G2A
3DefenderL. Shipley6.73G
23MidfielderC. Mahoney6.71G2A
4MidfielderM. Williams6.61A
45MidfielderR. Harper6.82G1A
21MidfielderJ. Earing6.71G2A
33ForwardD. Rose6.74G1A
25ForwardJ. Gordon6.69G

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Barrow show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Milton Keynes Dons

WWDDLL

Barrow

LWLLDW

Milton Keynes Dons vs Barrow Head to Head Results

Milton Keynes Dons and Barrow have met 1 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 1, Barrow won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 0 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–2 in 2025.

1

Milton Keynes Dons

0

Drawn

0

Barrow

Goals: 2Goals: 0

Recent Meetings (1)

9 Aug 2025Barrow0 – 2Milton Keynes Dons
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 16 Apr 2026