6 April 2026 at 14:00

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Oldham0wins
2draws4 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 9.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.7%Draw 31.3%Away 40.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.653.202.50
Max2.653.202.50
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

OldhamHalf-time:01Milton Keynes Dons
13Shots12
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
06/04/26Oldham1–1Milton Keynes Dons2.65/3.20/2.50
02/08/25Milton Keynes Dons0–0Oldham1.63/3.86/5.13
29/01/19Milton Keynes Dons2–1Oldham1.85/4.04/3.94
04/08/18Oldham1–2Milton Keynes Dons2.71/3.39/2.66

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Oldham

W 66D 62L 89
Over 2.553
Goals scored281

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 136D 61L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored443

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Oldham and Milton Keynes Dons drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2025. Goals were scored by M. Ekpiteta 30′, M. Fondop-Talum 84′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Oldham had 59% possession while Milton Keynes Dons held 41%. Oldham had 13 shots (4 on target) compared to 12 (2 on target) for Milton Keynes Dons. Expected goals: Oldham 1.00 — Milton Keynes Dons 1.77. Oldham made 4 substitutions, Milton Keynes Dons made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Oldham and Milton Keynes Dons — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Oldham
Milton Keynes Dons
Kick Off
30′
M. Ekpiteta

assist: C. Nelson

Half Time
C. KavanaghJ. Garner
56′
K. TaylorJ. Hawkes
56′
64′
A. CollinsC. Lemonheigh-Evans
74′
L. KellyN. Mendez-Laing
M. Fondop-Talum

assist: J. Hawkes

84′
K. DrummondO. Hammond
85′
T. PettK. Payne
85′
90′
A. NemaneJ. Tomlinson
90′
G. JonesR. Hepburn-Murphy
Full Time

Match Statistics

Oldham had 59% possession against Milton Keynes Dons's 41%. Oldham registered 13 shots (4 on target) while Milton Keynes Dons managed 12 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 8–2. Fouls committed: 10–10.

4Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal4
13Total Shots12
5Blocked Shots6
6Shots insidebox10
7Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls10
8Corner Kicks2
1Offsides3
59%Ball Possession41%
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
417Total passes292
257Passes accurate155
62%Passes %53%
1.00expected_goals1.77
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Oldham lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under Micky Mellon, while Milton Keynes Dons deployed a 3-1-4-2 under Paul Warne.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Oldham is 6.84, compared to 6.96 for Milton Keynes Dons. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Oldham's highest-rated starter is M. Hudson (7.18), while Milton Keynes Dons's best-rated player is C. Nelson (7.21).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Oldham have contributed 25 goals and 19 assists this season, led by M. Fondop-Talum (8G). Milton Keynes Dons's starters account for 50 goals and 34 assists, spearheaded by C. Paterson (14G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Oldham deploy 4 defenders rated 6.86 on average, against Milton Keynes Dons's 3-man backline averaging 7.20. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Oldham field 4 midfielders averaging 6.86, versus Milton Keynes Dons's 5 rated 6.90. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Oldham start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.58, compared to 2 for Milton Keynes Dons averaging 6.86. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 63% for Oldham and 63% for Milton Keynes Dons. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Oldham's starters have collected 39 yellow cards this season, compared to 39 for Milton Keynes Dons. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Oldham's starting XI is 27.7 (youngest: K. Taylor (20), oldest: T. Pett (34)), while Milton Keynes Dons average 29.5 (youngest: J. Sanders (26), oldest: C. MacGillivray (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Oldham's starters average 34 league appearances each, versus 33 for Milton Keynes Dons. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Oldham4-4-23-1-4-2Milton Keynes Dons
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Hudson16Sutton5Daniels6Monthe24Robson7Taylor4Pett8Woods15Drummond9Fondop-.17Kavanagh1MacGill.21Ekpiteta25Nelson32Sanders6Kelly2Jones26Wiles8Gilbey16Nemane10Collins13Paterson

Substitutes

Coach: Micky Mellon

Substitutes

Coach: Paul Warne

OldhamPosition StrengthMilton Keynes Dons
6.84
Avg Rating
6.96
7.18Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.78
0G 2A0G 0A
6.86Defender (4 v 3)7.20
4G 7A10G 4A
6.86Midfielder (4 v 5)6.90
11G 6A20G 20A
6.58Forward (2 v 2)6.86
10G 4A20G 10A
Oldham4-4-2
1GoalkeeperM. Hudson7.22A
16DefenderW. Sutton6.81G
5DefenderD. Daniels6.91G
6DefenderM. Monthe7.02G2A
24DefenderJ. Robson6.85A
7MidfielderK. Taylor6.61G
4MidfielderT. Pett7.03G1A
8MidfielderR. Woods7.14A
15MidfielderK. Drummond6.87G1A
9ForwardM. Fondop-Talum6.88G4A
17ForwardC. Kavanagh6.42G
Milton Keynes Dons3-1-4-2
1GoalkeeperC. MacGillivray6.8
21DefenderM. Ekpiteta7.26G3A
25DefenderC. Nelson7.22G1A
32DefenderJ. Sanders7.22G
6MidfielderL. Kelly7.01G8A
2MidfielderG. Jones6.81G2A
26MidfielderB. Wiles6.84G3A
8MidfielderA. Gilbey7.011G4A
16MidfielderA. Nemane6.83G3A
10ForwardA. Collins6.76G3A
13ForwardC. Paterson7.014G7A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Oldham have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Oldham

LLLDWL

Milton Keynes Dons

WWDDLL

Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results

Oldham and Milton Keynes Dons have met 2 times — Oldham won 0, Milton Keynes Dons won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (1 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2025.

0

Oldham

1

Drawn

1

Milton Keynes Dons

Goals: 1Goals: 3

Recent Meetings (2)

6 Dec 2025Milton Keynes Dons3 – 1Oldham
2 Aug 2025Milton Keynes Dons0 – 0Oldham
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 16 Apr 2026