11 April 2026 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Cambridge United dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.1
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Cambridge United.
Market Summary
Margin: 8.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.79 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| Max | 1.79 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2625/26 | Cambridge United | 4–0 | Notts County | 1.79/3.30/4.50 |
| 25/10/2525/26 | Notts County | 2–0 | Cambridge United | 2.37/3.20/2.95 |
| 12/01/1918/19 | Notts County | 0–1 | Cambridge United | 2.76/3.32/2.64 |
| 11/08/1818/19 | Cambridge United | 3–2 | Notts County | 2.60/3.25/2.86 |
| 20/02/1817/18 | Cambridge United | 1–0 | Notts County | 2.85/3.34/2.58 |
| 23/12/1717/18 | Notts County | 3–3 | Cambridge United | 1.76/3.70/4.82 |
| 22/11/1616/17 | Notts County | 0–1 | Cambridge United | 2.47/3.36/3.00 |
| 02/01/1716/17 | Cambridge United | 4–0 | Notts County | 1.82/3.77/4.52 |
| 28/11/1515/16 | Cambridge United | 3–1 | Notts County | 2.92/3.38/2.52 |
| 23/04/1615/16 | Notts County | 1–2 | Cambridge United | 2.95/3.41/2.48 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Cambridge United
Away Record: Notts County
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Cambridge United defeated Notts County 4:0. The match was played in League Two 2025. Goals were scored by D. Ball 2′, S. Lavery 28′, J. Gibbons 33′, J. Gibbons 55′. 2 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Cambridge United had 29% possession while Notts County held 71%. Cambridge United had 13 shots (6 on target) compared to 8 (0 on target) for Notts County. Expected goals: Cambridge United 2.59 — Notts County 0.49. Cambridge United made 4 substitutions, Notts County made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Cambridge United and Notts County — 4 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: P. Mpanzu
assist: S. Kaikai
assist: A. Mayor
Match Statistics
Cambridge United had 29% possession against Notts County's 71%. Cambridge United registered 13 shots (6 on target) while Notts County managed 8 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 6–15.
Lineups
Cambridge United lined up in a 5-4-1 formation, while Notts County deployed a —.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Cambridge United is 6.88, compared to 6.77 for Notts County. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cambridge United's highest-rated starter is J. Gibbons (7.14), while Notts County's best-rated player is M. Palmer (7.05).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Cambridge United have contributed 47 goals and 21 assists this season, led by B. Knight (9G). Notts County's starters account for 13 goals and 24 assists, spearheaded by C. Grant (3G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Cambridge United deploy 5 defenders rated 7.01 on average, against Notts County's 3-man backline averaging 6.83. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Cambridge United field 4 midfielders averaging 6.84, versus Notts County's 4 rated 6.81. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Cambridge United start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.57, compared to 3 for Notts County averaging 6.70. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 69% for Cambridge United and 77% for Notts County. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Cambridge United's starters have collected 40 yellow cards this season, compared to 40 for Notts County. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Cambridge United's starting XI is 26.3 (youngest: A. Mayor (20), oldest: P. Mpanzu (31)), while Notts County average 27.2 (youngest: T. Iorpenda (20), oldest: J. Belshaw (35)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Cambridge United's starters average 36 league appearances each, versus 31 for Notts County. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Neil Harris
Substitutes
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Cambridge United have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Notts County show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Cambridge United
Notts County
Cambridge United vs Notts County Head to Head Results
Cambridge United and Notts County have met 1 times — Cambridge United won 0, Notts County won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Notts County leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (0 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–0 in 2025.
0
Cambridge United
0
Drawn
1
Notts County
Recent Meetings (1)
API data: 16 Apr 2026