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Northampton vs Luton

Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands28 March 2015 at 15:00
21
Away

Luton

Match Events

Northampton
Luton
Kick Off
Half Time
46′
A. Lawless
57′
S. McNultyA. Lacey
R. Holmes

Penalty

64′
T. NeweyD. Carter
65′
J. OTooleI. Toney
65′
70′
M. CullenR. Miller
83′
A. LawlessC. McGeehan
J. Gray
86′
J. GrayZ. Diamond
90′
Full Time

Lineups

Midfield Control

Northampton field 11 midfielders averaging —, versus Luton's 11 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

NorthamptonPosition StrengthLuton
Northampton
1MidfielderM. Duke
2MidfielderB. Moloney
36MidfielderR. Cresswell
33MidfielderT. Newey
6MidfielderL. Collins
10MidfielderJ. O'Toole
25MidfielderJ. Byrom
21MidfielderJ. Taylor
14MidfielderJ. Gray
19MidfielderL. D'Ath
26MidfielderR. Holmes
Luton
16MidfielderE. Justham
5MidfielderS. McNulty
30MidfielderL. Wilkinson
22MidfielderM. Harriman
40MidfielderL. Kinsella
26MidfielderN. Doyle
8MidfielderA. Drury
7MidfielderA. Lawless
4MidfielderJ. Smith
9MidfielderP. Benson
13MidfielderM. Cullen

Match Summary

Northampton defeated Luton 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2014. Goals were scored by A. Lawless 46′, R. Holmes 64′ (pen.), J. Gray 86′. Northampton made 3 substitutions, Luton made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Northampton vs Luton Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Northampton
2
wins
Drawn
0
Luton
7
wins
Total goals
24 · 2.7/match
Both scored
4/9 · 44%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Form

Northampton

LLLLLL

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Northampton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Northampton3wins
0draws4 meetings
Luton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.4%Draw 29.7%Away 28.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.203.40
Max2.213.503.51
Market favourite:Northampton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.9%28.5%27.6%
Public market44.3%27.8%27.8%

Northampton vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Northampton
Result vs. Market: Northampton (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:00Luton
13Shots3
10Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
12/12/15Luton3–4Northampton2.40/3.43/3.04
30/04/16Northampton2–0Luton1.90/3.66/4.28
25/10/14Luton1–0Northampton2.15/3.45/3.41
28/03/15Northampton2–1Luton2.20/3.37/3.47

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Away Record: Luton

W 96D 67L 67
Over 2.546
Goals scored339

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026