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Northampton vs Luton

Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands30 April 2016 at 15:00
20
Away

Luton

Match Events

Northampton
Luton
Kick Off
Z. Diamond

assist: D. Rose

4′
22′
D. GreenJ. McQuoid
J. Marquis

assist: J. O'Toole

36′
Half Time
46′
O. LeeJ. Marriott
N. AdamsL. D'Ath
57′
J. MarquisJ. Collins
57′
S. HoskinsJ. Taylor
84′
84′
P. RuddockJ. Howells
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Northampton is 6.61, compared to — for Luton. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Northampton's highest-rated starter is S. Hoskins (6.61), while Luton's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Northampton have contributed 6 goals and 0 assists this season, led by S. Hoskins (6G). Luton's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Midfield Control

Northampton field 11 midfielders averaging 6.61, versus Luton's 11 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 62% for Northampton and —% for Luton. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Northampton's starters have collected 6 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Luton. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Northampton's starting XI is 32.0 (youngest: S. Hoskins (32), oldest: S. Hoskins (32)), while Luton average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Northampton's starters average 42 league appearances each, versus 0 for Luton. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

NorthamptonPosition StrengthLuton
6.61
Avg Rating
6.61Midfielder (11 v 11)
6G 0A0G 0A
Northampton
1MidfielderA. Smith
5MidfielderZ. Diamond
16MidfielderD. Buchanan
22MidfielderL. Prosser
12MidfielderJ. Lelan
21MidfielderJ. O'Toole
23MidfielderD. Rose
10MidfielderN. Adams
11MidfielderR. Holmes
27MidfielderJ. Marquis
14MidfielderS. Hoskins6.66G
Luton
16MidfielderE. Justham
44MidfielderA. Sheehan
2MidfielderS. O'Donnell
3MidfielderD. Potts
5MidfielderG. Rea
4MidfielderJ. Smith
19MidfielderO. Lee
11MidfielderD. Green
8MidfielderC. McGeehan
17MidfielderP. Ruddock
45MidfielderJ. Pigott

Match Summary

Northampton defeated Luton 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2015. Goals were scored by Z. Diamond 4′, J. Marquis 36′. Northampton made 3 substitutions, Luton made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Northampton vs Luton Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Northampton
2
wins
Drawn
0
Luton
7
wins
Total goals
25 · 2.8/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
6/9 · 67%

Recent Form

Northampton

LLLLLL

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Northampton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Northampton3wins
0draws4 meetings
Luton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 52.6%Draw 27.3%Away 23.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.883.404.20
Max1.913.834.33
Market favourite:Northampton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.9%25.5%22.6%
Public market51.3%26.1%22.6%

Northampton vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Northampton
Result vs. Market: Northampton (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:20Luton
14Shots7
5Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
12/12/15Luton3–4Northampton2.40/3.43/3.04
30/04/16Northampton2–0Luton1.90/3.66/4.28
25/10/14Luton1–0Northampton2.15/3.45/3.41
28/03/15Northampton2–1Luton2.20/3.37/3.47

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Away Record: Luton

W 96D 67L 67
Over 2.546
Goals scored339

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026