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Carlisle vs Stevenage

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria12 December 2020 at 15:00
40
Referee: R. Lewis

Match Events

Carlisle
Stevenage
Kick Off
N. Anderton

assist: C. Guy

10′
J. Kayode

assist: C. Guy

19′
L. Alessandra

assist: N. Anderton

34′
43′Romain Vincelot
44′Luke Prosser
Half Time
46′
R. HuttonR. Marshall
O. PatrickG. Touré
65′
68′
R. VincelotE. List
D. DevineJ. Riley
71′
J. Riley
73′
74′Luke Prosser
74′Luke Prosser
J. MellishJ. Dixon
76′
L. AlessandraG. Reilly
76′
80′
A. OtehO. Akinwande
80′
T. MarshJ. Smith
Full Time

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal0
12Shots off Goal1
24Total Shots1
4Blocked Shots0
13Shots insidebox0
11Shots outsidebox1
10Fouls14
7Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
46%Ball Possession54%
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
283Total passes339
153Passes accurate197
54%Passes %58%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 6.30, compared to 6.78 for Stevenage. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is A. Hayden (6.30), while Stevenage's best-rated player is L. Wildin (6.78).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Carlisle have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Stevenage's starters account for 1 goals and 2 assists, spearheaded by L. Wildin (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 4 defenders rated 6.30 on average, against Stevenage's 4-man backline averaging 6.78. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Stevenage's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Stevenage averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 71% for Carlisle and 62% for Stevenage. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Stevenage. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: A. Hayden (28), oldest: A. Hayden (28)), while Stevenage average 28.0 (youngest: L. Wildin (28), oldest: L. Wildin (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 2 league appearances each, versus 33 for Stevenage. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Carlisle4-3-34-2-3-1Stevenage
GKDEFMIDFWD
21Farman32Bennett3Anderton6Hayden11Patrick8Guy4Devine9Alessan.2Tanner12Mellish14Kayode1Cumming6Prosser3Coker2Wildin12Hutton4Vincelot26Pett15Vancoot.7Carter10Marsh28Oteh

Substitutes

Coach: C. Beech

Substitutes

Coach: A. Revell

CarlislePosition StrengthStevenage
6.30
Avg Rating
6.78
6.30Defender (4 v 4)6.78
0G 0A1G 2A
Carlisle4-3-3
21GoalkeeperP. Farman
32DefenderR. Bennett
3DefenderN. Anderton
6DefenderA. Hayden6.3
2DefenderG. Tanner
8MidfielderC. Guy
4MidfielderD. Devine
12MidfielderJ. Mellish
11ForwardO. Patrick
9ForwardL. Alessandra
14ForwardJ. Kayode
Stevenage4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperJ. Cumming
6DefenderL. Prosser
3DefenderB. Coker
2DefenderL. Wildin6.81G2A
15DefenderT. Vancooten
12MidfielderR. Hutton
4MidfielderR. Vincelot
26MidfielderT. Pett
7MidfielderC. Carter
10MidfielderT. Marsh
28ForwardA. Oteh

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Stevenage 4:0. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by N. Anderton 10′, J. Kayode 19′, L. Alessandra 34′, J. Riley 73′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Carlisle had 46% possession while Stevenage held 54%. Carlisle had 24 shots (8 on target) compared to 1 (0 on target) for Stevenage. Carlisle made 4 substitutions, Stevenage made 4.

Rivalry since 2011

Carlisle vs Stevenage Head to Head Results

24 stretnutí
Carlisle
10
wins
Drawn
7
Stevenage
7
wins
Total goals
53 · 2.2/match
Both scored
11/24 · 46%
Over 2.5
11/24 · 46%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Stevenage

WDWDLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle4wins
1draws10 meetings
Stevenage5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (61%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 63.4%Draw 26.3%Away 15.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.573.705.80
Max1.593.947.00
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market60.5%24.4%15.1%
Public market60.9%25.5%13.7%
Δ0.3%1.1%1.4%

Carlisle vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (63%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:30Stevenage
24Shots1
8Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/03/23Carlisle0–0Stevenage2.50/3.14/3.03
20/08/22Stevenage2–1Carlisle1.84/3.54/4.44
30/04/22Carlisle2–1Stevenage2.75/3.20/2.62
11/12/21Stevenage0–2Carlisle2.48/3.13/3.03
20/03/21Stevenage3–1Carlisle3.44/3.21/2.19
12/12/20Carlisle4–0Stevenage1.58/3.80/6.40
14/09/19Stevenage2–3Carlisle2.58/3.45/2.76
13/04/19Stevenage3–0Carlisle2.83/3.46/2.49
29/09/18Carlisle0–1Stevenage2.41/3.39/3.01
26/09/17Carlisle0–2Stevenage2.18/3.57/3.36

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026