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Stevenage vs Carlisle

The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire11 December 2021 at 15:00
02
Referee: D. Bourne

Match Events

Stevenage
Carlisle
Kick Off
7′Kelvin Mellor
44′
J. Mellish
Half Time
65′
J. Gibson

Penalty

A. ReadJ. Reid
68′
C. LinesE. Osborne
68′
Luther James-Wildin72′
90+3′
S. FishburnT. Abrahams
90′
J. MellishC. Whelan
Full Time

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots10
5Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox2
16Fouls10
6Corner Kicks2
2Offsides1
60%Ball Possession40%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
432Total passes291
304Passes accurate149
70%Passes %51%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Stevenage is 6.78, compared to — for Carlisle. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Stevenage's highest-rated starter is L. James-Wildin (6.78), while Carlisle's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Stevenage have contributed 1 goals and 2 assists this season, led by L. James-Wildin (1G). Carlisle's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Stevenage deploy 4 defenders rated 6.78 on average, against Carlisle's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Stevenage field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Carlisle's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Stevenage start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 62% for Stevenage and —% for Carlisle. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Stevenage's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Carlisle. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Stevenage's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: L. James-Wildin (28), oldest: L. James-Wildin (28)), while Carlisle average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Stevenage's starters average 33 league appearances each, versus 0 for Carlisle. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Stevenage4-4-24-2-3-1Carlisle
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Anang6Prosser3Coker2James-W.14Lines8Taylor4Reeves7List15Vancoot.9Norris19Read33Howard5McDonald16Feeney3Armer2Mellor11Dickens.8Guy27Gibson4Devine12Mellish25Fishburn

Substitutes

Coach: P. Tisdale

Substitutes

Coach: K. Millen

StevenagePosition StrengthCarlisle
6.78
Avg Rating
6.78Defender (4 v 4)
1G 2A0G 0A
Stevenage4-4-2
1GoalkeeperJ. Anang
6DefenderL. Prosser
3DefenderB. Coker
2DefenderL. James-Wildin6.81G2A
15DefenderT. Vancooten
14MidfielderC. Lines
8MidfielderJ. Taylor
4MidfielderJ. Reeves
19MidfielderA. Read
7ForwardE. List
9ForwardL. Norris
Carlisle4-2-3-1
33GoalkeeperM. Howard
5DefenderR. McDonald
16DefenderM. Feeney
3DefenderJ. Armer
2DefenderK. Mellor
11MidfielderB. Dickenson
8MidfielderC. Guy
27MidfielderJ. Gibson
4MidfielderD. Devine
12MidfielderJ. Mellish
25ForwardS. Fishburn

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Stevenage 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2021. Goals were scored by J. Mellish 44′, J. Gibson 65′ (pen.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Stevenage had 60% possession while Carlisle held 40%. Stevenage had 13 shots (3 on target) compared to 10 (5 on target) for Carlisle. Stevenage made 2 substitutions, Carlisle made 2.

Rivalry since 2011

Stevenage vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

24 stretnutí
Stevenage
7
wins
Drawn
7
Carlisle
10
wins
Total goals
55 · 2.3/match
Both scored
11/24 · 46%
Over 2.5
12/24 · 50%

Recent Form

Stevenage

WDWDLW

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stevenage5wins
1draws10 meetings
Carlisle4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.3%Draw 31.9%Away 33.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.402.993.00
Max2.593.303.09
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 62.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.0%32.0%31.0%
Public market39.1%29.0%31.9%
Δ2.1%3.0%0.9%

Stevenage vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

StevenageHalf-time:01Carlisle
13Shots10
3Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/03/23Carlisle0–0Stevenage2.50/3.14/3.03
20/08/22Stevenage2–1Carlisle1.84/3.54/4.44
30/04/22Carlisle2–1Stevenage2.75/3.20/2.62
11/12/21Stevenage0–2Carlisle2.48/3.13/3.03
20/03/21Stevenage3–1Carlisle3.44/3.21/2.19
12/12/20Carlisle4–0Stevenage1.58/3.80/6.40
14/09/19Stevenage2–3Carlisle2.58/3.45/2.76
13/04/19Stevenage3–0Carlisle2.83/3.46/2.49
29/09/18Carlisle0–1Stevenage2.41/3.39/3.01
26/09/17Carlisle0–2Stevenage2.18/3.57/3.36

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026