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Carlisle vs Bolton

26 December 2020 at 15:00Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
33
Away

Bolton

Referee: R. Joyce

Match Summary

Carlisle and Bolton drew 3:3. The match was played in League Two 2020.

Rivalry since 2021

Carlisle vs Bolton Head to Head Results· 4

Carlisle and Bolton have met 4 times — Carlisle won 2, Bolton won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.50 per match (7 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (75%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2024.

Drawn
0
·
2
wins
Total goals
14 · 3.5/match
Both scored
3/4 · 75%
Over 2.5
3/4 · 75%

Recent Meetings

27/01/24League One
Match Details
07/10/23League One
Match Details
16/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
20/04/21League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Bolton show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Bolton

WWWLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
2 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Apr 202120/212.39/3.28/3.04
Match Details
26 Dec 202020/211.68/3.78/5.02
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.4%Draw 26.4%Away 19.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.653.604.80
Max1.704.005.25
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.7%24.1%19.2%
Public market57.0%25.1%17.9%
Δ0.3%1.0%1.3%

Carlisle vs Bolton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (59%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:31Bolton
18Shots9
7Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Bolton

W 23D 10L 13
Over 2.539
Goals scored59

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026