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Carlisle vs Tranmere

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria23 February 2021 at 19:00
23
Referee: B. Speedie

Match Events

Carlisle
Tranmere
Kick Off
J. Kayode

assist: N. Anderton

3′
12′Paul Lewis
21′
K. Woolery

assist: L. Feeney

N. Anderton

assist: G. Touré

27′
43′
J. Vaughan

assist: J. Spearing

Half Time
50′
S. NelsonL. O'Connor
70′
D. LloydK. Morris
O. PatrickO. Zanzala
79′
G. TouréL. Alessandra
79′
A. HaydenR. McDonald
81′
86′
K. WooleryD. Nugent
88′
J. Vaughan

assist: D. Nugent

J. MellishB. Dickenson
89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal3
9Total Shots12
2Blocked Shots4
3Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox6
9Fouls12
9Corner Kicks7
0Offsides3
48%Ball Possession52%
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
308Total passes332
171Passes accurate191
56%Passes %58%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 6.30, compared to 6.38 for Tranmere. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is A. Hayden (6.30), while Tranmere's best-rated player is K. Woolery (6.38).

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 4 defenders rated 6.30 on average, against Tranmere's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Tranmere's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Tranmere averaging 6.38. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 71% for Carlisle and 75% for Tranmere. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Tranmere. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: A. Hayden (28), oldest: A. Hayden (28)), while Tranmere average 30.0 (youngest: K. Woolery (30), oldest: K. Woolery (30)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 2 league appearances each, versus 8 for Tranmere. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Carlisle4-3-34-3-3Tranmere
GKDEFMIDFWD
21Farman32Bennett3Anderton6Hayden11Patrick7Riley8Guy20Touré2Tanner12Mellish14Kayode1Davies26Clarke21Ray4Nelson18MacDona.8Spearing19Feeney35Lloyd22Lewis9Vaughan14Woolery

Substitutes

Coach: C. Beech

Substitutes

Coach: K. Hill

CarlislePosition StrengthTranmere
6.30
Avg Rating
6.38
6.30Defender (4 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
Forward (3 v 3)6.38
0G 0A0G 0A
Carlisle4-3-3
21GoalkeeperP. Farman
32DefenderR. Bennett
3DefenderN. Anderton
6DefenderA. Hayden6.3
2DefenderG. Tanner
7MidfielderJ. Riley
8MidfielderC. Guy
12MidfielderJ. Mellish
11ForwardO. Patrick
20ForwardG. Touré
14ForwardJ. Kayode
Tranmere4-3-3
1GoalkeeperS. Davies
26DefenderP. Clarke
21DefenderG. Ray
4DefenderS. Nelson
18DefenderC. MacDonald
8MidfielderJ. Spearing
19MidfielderL. Feeney
22MidfielderP. Lewis
35ForwardD. Lloyd
9ForwardJ. Vaughan
14ForwardK. Woolery6.4

Match Summary

Tranmere defeated Carlisle 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by J. Kayode 3′, K. Woolery 21′, N. Anderton 27′, J. Vaughan 43′, J. Vaughan 88′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle had 48% possession while Tranmere held 52%. Carlisle had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 12 (5 on target) for Tranmere. Carlisle made 4 substitutions, Tranmere made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Carlisle vs Tranmere Head to Head Results

18 stretnutí
Carlisle
8
wins
Drawn
3
Tranmere
7
wins
Total goals
37 · 2.1/match
Both scored
5/18 · 28%
Over 2.5
7/18 · 39%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Tranmere

DLWLDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Tranmere dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle2wins
1draws10 meetings
Tranmere7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Tranmere.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.2%Draw 30.9%Away 27.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.203.50
Max2.213.253.73
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.8%30.2%26.0%
Public market45.2%29.2%25.6%
Δ1.4%1.1%0.3%

Carlisle vs Tranmere — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Tranmere
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:22Tranmere
9Shots12
4Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
04/01/25Tranmere1–0Carlisle2.12/3.37/3.35
31/08/24Carlisle1–2Tranmere2.12/3.36/3.50
07/04/23Carlisle2–0Tranmere1.76/3.44/5.20
29/10/22Tranmere0–2Carlisle2.12/3.34/3.54
02/04/22Tranmere2–2Carlisle1.85/3.43/4.43
16/10/21Carlisle0–1Tranmere2.54/3.18/2.81
23/02/21Carlisle2–3Tranmere2.12/3.23/3.64
24/11/20Tranmere1–0Carlisle3.01/3.21/2.44
30/03/19Tranmere3–0Carlisle2.13/3.52/3.39
15/09/18Carlisle0–2Tranmere2.73/3.56/2.55

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Tranmere

W 124D 95L 149
Over 2.542
Goals scored427

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026